United States presidential election in Texas, 2016

United States presidential election in Texas, 2016
Texas
November 8, 2016

 
Nominee Donald Trump Hillary Clinton
Party Republican Democratic
Home state New York New York
Running mate Mike Pence Tim Kaine
Electoral vote 38 0
Popular vote 4,685,047 3,877,868
Percentage 52.23% 43.24%

County Results

Trump

  50-60%
  60-70%
  70-80%
  80-90%
  >90%

Clinton

  40-50%
  50-60%
  60-70%
  70-80%
  80-90%


President before election

Barack Obama
Democratic

Elected President

Donald Trump
Republican

The 2016 United States presidential election in Texas was held on November 8, 2016, as part of the 2016 General Election in which all 50 states plus The District of Columbia participate. Texas voters will choose 38 electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The election pitted the Republican Party's nominee businessman Donald Trump and his running mate Indiana governor Mike Pence against former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton of the Democratic Party and her running mate, Senator Tim Kaine, as well as a number of newer or smaller party candidates.

Texas was won by President-elect Donald Trump with a 8.99% margin of victory, a reduced margin from Mitt Romney's 16% margin in 2012. Texas was one of eleven states that shifted more Democratic between the 2012 and 2016 presidential elections.[1] The change can be attributed to significant shifts toward Democrats in Texas's largest metropolitan areas. For example, while Barack Obama and Mitt Romney were roughly tied in Harris County (home of Houston) in the 2012 election, Hillary Clinton won the county by over 150,000 votes. Additionally, Hillary Clinton was the first Democrat to win Fort Bend County since 1964. Conversely, Trump's margin of 94.6% in Roberts County was his largest in the entire United States.

On March 1, 2016, in the presidential primaries, Texas voters expressed their preferences for the Democratic, Republican, and Green parties' respective nominees for President.

Democratic primary

Texas Democratic primary, 2016
Texas
March 1, 2016 (2016-03-01)

 
Candidate Hillary Clinton Bernie Sanders
Home state New York Vermont
Delegate count 147 75
Popular vote 936,004 476,547
Percentage 65.19% 33.19%

Texas results by county
  Hillary Clinton
  Bernie Sanders
  Tie

The Texas Democratic Party held their state's primary in concurrence with the other Super Tuesday contests on March 1. Eight candidates appeared on the ballot, Hillary Clinton, Bernie Sanders, dropped-out candidate Martin O'Malley and five minor candidates (Rocky De La Fuente, Willie Wilson, Star Locke, Keith Russell Judd and Calvis Hawes.)

Results

Texas Democratic Party presidential primary, 2016[2]
Candidate Popular vote Delegates
Count Percentage Pledged delegates Super delegates Total delegates
Hillary Clinton 936,004 65.19% 147 21 168
Bernie Sanders 476,547 33.19% 75 0 75
Rocky De Le Fuente 8,429 0.59% 0 0 0
Martin O'Malley 5,364 0.37% 0 0 0
Willie Wilson 3,254 0.23% 0 0 0
Keith Russell Judd 2,569 0.18% 0 0 0
Calvis L. Hawes 2,017 0.14% 0 0 0
Star Locke 1,711 0.12% 0 0 0
Uncommitted n/a 8 8
Total: 1,435,895 100% 222 29 251
Key: Withdrew prior to contest

Republican primary

Texas Republican primary, 2016
Texas
March 1, 2016 (2016-03-01)

 
Candidate Ted Cruz Donald Trump Marco Rubio
Home state Texas New York Florida
Delegate count 104 48 3
Popular vote 1,241,118 758,762 503,055
Percentage 43.76% 26.75% 17.74%

Texas results by county
  Ted Cruz
  Donald Trump

Debates and forums

February 24, 2016 – Houston, Texas Megyn Kelly hosted a two-hour town hall event on The Kelly File with Kasich, Cruz, Rubio, and Carson in attendance. Trump did not participate in the forum.[3]

February 25, 2016 – Houston, Texas

Candidate Airtime[4] Polls[5]
Trump 30:23 33.6%
Cruz 19:51 20.4%
Rubio 16:48 16.4%
Kasich 17:36 9.8%
Carson 10:15 7.4%

After the caucus in Nevada, the tenth debate was held at the University of Houston in Houston and broadcast by CNN as its third of four debates, in conjunction with Telemundo. The debate aired five days before 14 states vote on Super Tuesday, March 1. While the debate was to be held in partnership with Telemundo's English-language counterpart NBC, RNC Chairman Reince Priebus announced on October 30, 2015, that it had suspended the partnership in response to CNBC's "bad faith" in handling the October 28, 2015, debate.[6][7] On January 18, 2016, the RNC announced that CNN would replace NBC News as the main host of the debate, in partnership with Telemundo and Salem Communications (CNN's conservative media partner). The debate was shifted a day earlier at the same time.[8] National Review was disinvited by the Republican National Committee from co-hosting the debate over its criticism of GOP front-runner Donald Trump.[9] On February 19, the criteria for invitation to the debate was announced: in addition to having official statements of candidacy with the Federal Election Commission and accepting the rules of the debate, candidates must have received at least 5% support in one of the first four election contests held in Iowa, New Hampshire, South Carolina, and Nevada.[10] By these criteria, all five remaining candidates, Carson, Cruz, Kasich, Rubio, and Trump, qualified for invitation to the debate.

Results

Texas Republican Party presidential primary, 2016[11]
Candidate Popular vote Delegates
Count Percentage
Ted Cruz 1,241,118 43.76% 104
Donald Trump 758,762 26.75% 48
Marco Rubio 503,055 17.74% 3
John Kasich 120,473 4.25% 0
Ben Carson 117,969 4.16% 0
Jeb Bush 35,420 1.25% 0
Uncommitted 29,609 1.04% 0
Rand Paul 8,000 0.28% 0
Mike Huckabee 6,226 0.22% 0
Elizabeth Gray 5,449 0.19% 0
Chris Christie 3,448 0.12% 0
Carly Fiorina 3,247 0.11% 0
Rick Santorum 2,006 0.07% 0
Lindsey Graham 1,706 0.06% 0
Total: 2,836,488 100% 155
Key: Withdrew prior to contest

Green primary

The Texas Green Party held its elections at conventions at the precinct level on March 8,[12] the county level on March 12,[13] and the district level on March 19,[14] leading up to the state nominating convention in Grey Forest, Texas on April 9 and 10.[15]

On April 10 it was announced Jill Stein had won the convention.[16]

Minnesota Green Party presidential caucus, March 1, 2016[17][18]
Candidate Votes Percentage National delegates
Jill Stein - - 15
Sedinam Moyowasifza-Curry - - 3
Darryl Cherney - - 2
Kent Mesplay - - 2
William Kreml - - 1
Total - 100.00% 23

General election

Polling

Demographics

The last time Texas voted for a Democratic candidate was the 1976 Presidential election when Jimmy Carter won 51.14% of the popular vote. Hispanics, mostly Mexican-Americans, that will be eligible to vote in the 2016 election will number around 5 million. However, according to the Washington Post, only about half are actually registered and not all will make it to the polls on election day. Hispanic participation can create a very interesting and unpredictable outcome, especially on the Democratic statewide tickets since they lean heavily Democratic.[19] The Hispanic turnout has increased by approximately 200,000 for each and every presidential election since 2000.[20]

Predictions

The following are final 2016 predictions from various organizations for Texas as of Election Day.

  1. Los Angeles Times: Leans Trump[21]
  2. CNN: Solid Trump[22]
  3. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Solid Trump[23]
  4. NBC: Leans Trump[24]
  5. Electoral-vote.com: Leans Trump[25]
  6. RealClearPolitics: Leans Trump[26]
  7. Fox News: Leans Trump[27]
  8. ABC: Solid Trump[28]

Results

United States presidential election in Texas, 2016[29]
Party Candidate Running mate Votes Percentage Electoral votes
Republican Donald Trump Mike Pence 4,683,352 52.41% 38
Democratic Hillary Clinton Tim Kaine 3,868,291 43.29% 0
Libertarian Gary Johnson William Weld 282,655 3.16% 0
Green Jill Stein Ajamu Baraka 71,327 0.79% 0
Independent (Write-in) Evan McMullin Nathan Johnson 20,227 0.22% 0
Independent (Write-in) Darrell Castle Scott Bradley 2,789 0.03% 0
Totals 8,934,718 100.00% 38
Voter turnout (Voting age population) 59.16%

By county

County[30] Trump
Votes
Trump
%
Clinton
Votes
Clinton
%
Johnson
Votes
Johnson
%
Stein
Votes
Stein
%
Other
Votes
Other
%
Total
Anderson13,16577.953,35819.883071.81570.3300.0016,887
Andrews3,92579.4383616.911472.97180.36150.534,941
Angelina21,66672.477,53825.215601.871060.35260.1029,896
Aransas7,73073.712,45823.442382.26410.39190.2010,486
Archer3,78588.493949.21801.87100.2380.204,277
Armstrong92490.49706.85181.7650.4840.421,021
Atascosa8,59863.054,63533.993072.25650.47310.2413,636
Austin9,63778.522,31918.892482.02510.41180.1612,273
Bailey1,34374.9439722.15392.1750.2780.471,792
Bandera8,15979.881,72616.892622.56660.6410.0310,214
Bastrop16,31457.3910,55537.131,0613.733201.121740.6328,424
Baylor1,26784.5219112.74312.0630.2070.481,499
Bee4,74355.913,44340.582382.80340.40250.318,483
Bell51,78054.7637,60839.773,8004.018110.855520.6194,551
Bexar[31]240,33340.42319,55053.7420,0913.386,6451.127,9551.34598,691
Blanco4,21274.081,24421.881803.16330.58160.305,685
Borden33090.41318.4930.8210.2700.00365
Bosque6,32580.851,27716.321551.98400.51260.347,823
Bowie24,91371.998,83125.525821.681440.411330.4034,603
Brazoria72,65360.0843,07535.623,7653.118030.666150.53120,911
Brazos38,66257.6723,04134.373,8015.675320.799931.5067,029
Brewster2,07348.871,86944.062084.90761.79150.384,241
Briscoe62584.919112.36141.9040.5420.29736
Brooks61323.611,93774.61321.23140.5300.002,596
Brown12,01085.671,62111.562531.80650.46690.5114,018
Burleson5,31676.371,49121.421181.69200.28150.246,960
Burnet14,59576.233,78519.765632.941030.531000.5419,146
Caldwell6,51655.384,66339.634283.631020.86550.5011,764
Calhoun4,63866.592,11830.401682.41330.4780.136,965
Callahan4,85887.2056810.191071.92230.41150.285,571
Cameron29,43232.0559,31964.612,2312.438220.8900.0091,804
Camp3,20170.471,26027.74661.45150.3300.004,542
Carson2,61788.382498.40682.29110.37160.562,961
Cass9,18278.782,25019.301411.20330.28480.4411,654
Castro1,41370.7952626.35472.35100.5000.001,996
Chambers13,27879.432,93917.583852.30590.35550.3416,716
Cherokee12,89676.923,46620.673051.81340.20630.4016,764
Childress1,80286.4625312.14241.1550.2300.002,084
Clay4,37687.2953610.69871.73120.2320.065,013
Cochran67975.3619021.08293.2130.3300.00901
Coke1,26588.891409.83161.1220.1400.001,423
Coleman3,17787.2338710.62531.45180.4970.213,642
Collin200,39556.18139,83739.2013,7903.862,5230.701430.06356,688
Collingsworth98385.0314512.45221.9040.3420.191,156
Colorado6,32374.381,97723.251441.69360.42200.268,500
Comal44,99672.6214,16622.862,0623.323430.553930.6561,960
Comanche4,30082.5078815.11991.89210.4040.105,212
Concho88582.8614813.85272.5270.6510.121,068
Cooke13,17482.652,34514.713151.97600.37450.3015,939
Coryell12,21267.005,05727.746983.821600.87990.5718,226
Cottle48683.368414.40111.8820.3400.00583
Crane1,04775.7529921.63282.0270.5010.101,382
Crockett98070.2537226.66392.7940.2800.001,395
Crosby1,18068.3646827.11593.4150.28140.841,726
Culberson28036.5545459.26233.0050.6540.54766
Dallam1,25881.6322214.40462.9890.5860.411,541
Dallas[32][31][31]262,94534.87461,08061.1424,0253.196,1140.8100.00754,164
Dawson2,63673.9883523.43802.24110.3010.353,563
Deaf Smith2,91169.041,18528.10912.15140.33150.384,216
Delta1,83680.4940017.53361.5770.3020.112,281
Denton169,77657.16110,14937.0911,5293.882,6460.892,8680.98296,968
Dewitt5,51080.761,16117.011241.81270.3900.006,822
Dickens75583.0512814.08232.5330.3300.00909
Dimmit97430.202,17367.37571.76210.6500.003,225
Donley1,22583.6719012.97402.7350.3440.291,464
Duval1,31631.632,78366.89491.17110.2610.054,160
Eastland6,00886.3277611.141201.72310.44250.386,960
Ector24,97668.5010,22528.041,0052.751670.45850.2636,458
Edwards74169.4430228.30171.5950.4620.211,067
Ellis44,80770.6016,179725.521,7382.733220.504000.6563,464
El Paso54,56725.92145,50969.127,4683.542,9141.38440.04210,502
Erath11,20580.682,15915.543782.72680.48770.5813,887
Falls3,43865.581,68232.08901.71220.41100.225,242
Fannin9,53679.322,12317.662672.22460.38490.4212,021
Fayette8,64878.162,12719.222091.88450.40350.3411,064
Fisher1,26573.1640323.30442.54100.5770.431,729
Floyd1,47375.2243522.21472.4030.1500.001,958
Foard38374.9511322.11142.7310.1900.00511
Fort Bend117,21244.77134,47551.376,8982.631,7820.681,3940.55261,761
Franklin3,58381.8566515.19962.19120.27210.504,377
Freestone5,99578.791,46119.201391.82130.1700.007,608
Frio1,23245.911,40152.21371.37130.4800.002,683
Gaines3,90784.5659712.92851.83200.43110.264,620
Galveston73,56659.0645,50336.534,0403.248850.715530.46124,547
Garza1,22382.8522415.17211.4270.4710.091,476
Gillespie10,44579.072,28617.303312.50610.46860.6713,209
Glasscock55391.55345.62132.1520.3320.33604
Goliad2,61870.5097326.201012.72210.5600.003,713
Gonzales4,58072.431,56724.781292.04280.44190.316,323
Gray6,49587.796999.441441.94220.29380.547,398
Grayson35,27474.7910,27621.781,2552.662630.55960.2247,164
Gregg28,69368.9411,62327.928992.161500.362530.6241,618
Grimes7,06574.112,19423.012192.29500.5250.059,533
Guadalupe36,49563.4318,30831.822,0083.494090.713140.5557,534
Hale6,34771.912,09023.683233.65420.47240.298,826
Hall89181.8116415.05343.1200.0000.001,089
Hamilton3,05684.5147913.24641.76100.2770.223,616
Hansford1,73088.851718.78371.9090.4600.001,947
Hardeman1,20779.7724916.45483.1770.4620.151,513
Hardin19,60086.082,77912.203481.52410.1800.0022,768
Harris544,96041.77706,47154.1539,7013.0411,7550.901,5930.141,304,480
Harrison18,71270.647,13026.914471.68750.281230.4926,487
Hartley1,72788.601728.82432.2030.1540.201,949
Haskell1,40379.2631417.74422.3760.3350.281,770
Hays33,73046.8833,11746.033,6225.031,0551.464210.6071,945
Hemphill1,46086.3918110.71442.6020.1130.161,690
Henderson23,57478.965,64918.925311.771010.3300.0029,855
Hidalgo48,60828.09118,73968.633,7882.181,8551.0700.00172,990
Hill10,07578.012,53519.622561.98400.3090.0912,915
Hockley5,79379.441,25717.231992.72330.45100.167,292
Hood21,36781.484,00115.256392.431130.43102.4126,222
Hopkins10,70479.092,50818.532201.62440.321010.4413,533
Houston6,20574.281,97823.68901.07290.34510.618,353
Howard6,65376.091,76820.272332.67560.64270.338,719
Hudspeth50357.7432437.19384.3660.6800.00871
Hunt23,86676.216,30120.128572.731610.511270.4331,312
Hutchinson7,03986.5085410.492102.58230.28110.158,137
Irion66086.169011.7491.1710.1360.80766
Jack2,97388.743149.37421.25100.29110.353,350
Jackson4,26680.5890417.07781.47270.51190.375,294
Jasper10,57879.072,58219.301541.15370.27260.2113,377
Jeff Davis69458.3142235.46423.52171.42151.291,190
Jefferson42,82848.9242,40448.431,7111.954200.471790.2387,542
Jim Hogg43020.291,63577.15421.98120.5600.002,119
Jim Wells5,41143.776,68854.102071.67400.32150.1412,361
Johnson44,37077.0610,97619.061,6022.783220.553020.5357,572
Jones4,81580.8793515.701612.70210.35220.385,954
Karnes2,95970.601,14427.29701.67120.2860.164,191
Kaufman29,53771.6910,26524.919802.371970.472190.5641,198
Kendall15,66378.043,63318.105542.76860.421330.6820,069
Kenedy8445.169953.2231.6100.0000.00186
Kent36082.945913.59143.2200.0010.25434
Kerr17,65876.094,66520.106532.811140.491160.5134,644
Kimble1,69786.9320610.55371.8950.2570.381,952
King14993.7153.1453.1400.0000.00159
Kinney93665.7345732.09251.7560.4200.001,424
Kleberg4,36445.904,71349.573143.30920.96230.279,506
Knox1,07878.8524718.06282.0450.3690.691,367
Lamar14,54678.243,57919.253431.84690.37530.3018,590
Lamb3,04077.8477019.71872.2280.2000.003,905
Lampasas6,37177.921,47918.082523.08470.572700.358,176
La Salle87042.371,12554.79442.14100.4840.222,053
Lavaca7,33984.811,17013.521121.29120.13200.258,653
Lee4,99676.491,37221.001261.92280.4290.176,531
Leon6,39185.9190912.21941.26130.17320.457,439
Liberty18,85678.064,85120.083641.50840.3400.0024,155
Limestone5,74775.141,74822.851261.64270.3500.007,648
Lipscomb1,15987.0113510.13251.8730.22100.771,332
Live Oak3,45080.5173917.24651.51130.30180.444,285
Llano8,28379.411,82517.492051.96640.61530.5310,430
Loving5789.0646.2511.5623.1200.0064
Lubbock65,56666.3327,95628.283,9083.956300.637870.8198,847
Lynn1,54676.9540320.05412.0470.34120.622,009
Madison3,34978.1788120.56451.0580.1810.044,284
Marion2,96870.461,15627.44691.63130.3060.174,212
Martin1,45382.5526615.11311.7650.2850.281,760
Mason1,65680.5435317.16371.7970.3430.172,056
Matagorda8,14768.943,35728.412261.91490.41370.3311,816
Maverick2,81620.7210,39776.512661.951090.8000.0013,588
McCulloch2,54682.3148015.51511.6490.2970.253,093
McLennan48,24561.0327,04634.212,4913.154730.597681.0279,041
McMullen45490.98408.0120.4010.2020.40499
Medina12,05470.064,62426.874032.341060.61160.1217,203
Menard68179.0015317.74252.9010.1120.23862
Midland36,89675.179,99320.361,6613.382030.413260.6849,079
Milam6,34073.472,04223.661762.03490.56220.288,629
Mills1,94986.9324210.79411.8260.2640.202,242
Mitchell1,78081.1335316.08502.2770.3140.212,194
Montague7,52687.4788510.281701.97230.2600.008,604
Montgomery150,18873.4745,74422.376,1363.001,0150.491,3210.67204,404
Moore3,97475.271,09620.761663.14260.49170.345,279
Morris3,44369.271,42528.67771.54190.3860.144,970
Motley57192.09406.4591.4500.0000.00620
Nacogdoches14,75165.346,82230.227003.101570.691430.6522.573
Navarro11,98473.153,99824.403432.09570.3400.0016,382
Newton2,96173.7197824.34601.49110.2770.194,017
Nolan3,55174.221,02921.501422.96220.45400.874,784
Nueces50,70448.7649,10247.223,3063.178460.81220.04103,980
Ochiltree2,62887.572749.13742.4650.16200.683,001
Oldham85089.66788.22141.4730.3130.31948
Orange25,38579.705,71617.945451.711150.36870.2931,848
Palo Pinto8,22280.641,70016.672052.01480.47200.2110,195
Panola8,44581.071,83517.611091.04240.2330.0510,416
Parker46,43381.808,32914.671,4372.532140.373460.6356,759
Parmer1,91167.6484830.01551.9440.1470.272,825
Pecos2,46358.961,55137.131273.04260.62100.254,177
Polk26,58777.107,12320.656011.741330.38360.1334,480
Potter19,49968.697,62026.841,0213.591900.66530.2228,383
Presidio65229.521,45866.03642.89291.3150.252,208
Rains3,91984.6461913.36771.66150.3200.004,630
Randall43,37980.058,34015.391,8673.442270.413760.7154,189
Reagan70978.4216718.47222.4320.2240.44904
Real1,38282.2126215.58281.6660.3530.201,681
Red River3,92476.071,14822.25671.2980.15110.245,158
Reeves1,41744.501,65952.10983.07100.3100.003,184
Refugio1,83062.071,03435.07712.40100.3330.132,948
Roberts52494.58203.6161.0800.0040.73554
Robertson4,66566.422,20331.361251.77170.24130.217,023
Rockwall28,39671.249,63324.161,2933.242070.513300.8539,859
Runnels3,24186.0845212.00591.56130.3400.003,765
Rusk14,67577.263,93520.713331.75510.2600.0018,994
Sabine3,99285.9461413.21270.5890.1930.084,645
San Augustine2,62073.5190725.44300.8460.1610.033,564
San Jacinto8,05077.952,03419.691691.63520.50210.2310,326
San Patricio13,00460.257,82536.255712.641130.52690.3421,582
San Saba2,02585.9129312.43321.3540.1630.122,357
Schleicher81976.8220919.60242.2520.18121.151,066
Scurry4,40383.3973313.881031.95220.41190.375,280
Shackelford1,37891.621036.84211.3900.0020.151,504
Shelby7,17179.001,75719.351231.35210.2350.079,077
Sherman80786.319610.26272.8830.3220.21935
Smith58,63169.9022,12826.382,0622.453400.407100.8783,871
Somervell3,20682.2854013.861072.74230.59200.503,896
Starr2,21818.979,24679.081591.36680.5800.0011,691
Stephens3,03487.6634810.05651.8870.2000.003,461

See also

References

  1. http://uselectionatlas.org/RESULTS/data.php?year=2016&def=swg&datatype=national&f=0&off=0&elect=0
  2. "Race Summary Report: 2016 Democratic Party Primary Election". Texas Secretary of State. March 1, 2016. Retrieved July 14, 2016.
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  10. Watkins, Eli (February 19, 2016). "CNN's Wolf Blitzer will moderate Republican debate in Houston". CNN. Retrieved February 22, 2016.
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  12. "Time to Vote Green- March 8". Green Party of Texas. 21 August 2015. Retrieved 12 March 2016.
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  19. https://www.washingtonpost.com/national/divided-america-texas-hispanic-voting-bloc-largely-untapped/2016/08/05/9b88a14c-5b23-11e6-8b48-0cb344221131_story.html
  20. Tinsleyatinsley, Anna M. (2016-09-10). "How important is the Hispanic vote in November 2016?". The Star-Telegram. Retrieved 2016-11-13.
  21. "Our final map has Clinton winning with 352 electoral votes. Compare your picks with ours.". Los Angeles Times. 2016-11-06. Retrieved 2016-11-13.
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  24. Todd, Chuck. "NBC's Final Battleground Map Shows Clinton With a Significant Lead". NBC News. Retrieved 2016-11-13.
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  27. "Electoral Scorecard: Map shifts again in Trump's favor, as Clinton holds edge". Fox News. 2016-11-07. Retrieved 2016-11-13.
  28. "Electoral Map 2016: Forecast Who Will Win-Clinton or Trump". Abcnews.go.com. Retrieved 2016-11-13.
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  30. "Texas Secretary of State". Retrieved November 29, 2016.
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  32. "OFFICIAL RESULTS, Dallas County, Texas, General Election, November 8, 2016".
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