Prince Edward Island general election, 2011

October 3, 2011 (2011-10-03)

27 seats of the Legislative Assembly of Prince Edward Island 14 seats needed for a majority

	First party	Second party
		PC
Leader	Robert Ghiz	Olive Crane
Party	Liberal	Progressive Conservative
Leader since	April 5, 2003	October 2, 2010
Leader's seat	Charlottetown-Brighton	Morell-Mermaid
Last election	23 seats, 52.93%	4 seats, 41.35%
Seats before	24	2
Seats won	22	5
Seat change	2	3
Percentage	51.39%	40.18%
Swing	1.54%	1.17%

Map of PEI's ridings coloured in based on how they voted

Premier before election

Robert Ghiz
Liberal

Premier-designate

Robert Ghiz
Liberal

The 64th Prince Edward Island general election was held on October 3, 2011.^[1]^[2]

The Liberal government of Premier Robert Ghiz was elected to a second majority government, winning one seat less than they did in 2007. Ghiz himself considered 18 seats to be a marker for a strong majority. He won 22.

Health care was an important issue during the election, especially in rural areas.^[3]

The Progressive Conservatives retained their position as Official Opposition, winning five seats. Olive Crane used the issue of the Provincial Nominee Program during the election, as well as issues surrounding immigration and investments that came under investigation by the Royal Canadian Mounted Police and Federal Minister Jason Kenney during the election.^[4]

Results

Both the Liberals and Progressive Conservatives lost votes, and lost in the share of vote. Turnout was down and seven thousand fewer voters cast ballots total. The Greens and New Democrats increased both their raw vote and their share of the vote, and the new Island party took nearly a full percentage point. Three incumbent Liberal MLAs were defeated by Progressive Conservatives; the Progressive Conservatives retained one of the two seats they held at the dissolution of the previous legislature, as well as one vacant seat which they held prior to the resignation of Michael Currie from the legislature in March 2011, while the Liberals gained one seat whose Progressive Conservative incumbent did not stand for re-election.

The election saw one riding, Kellys Cross-Cumberland, have six candidates, a rarity in PEI elections.

The PC Party solidified their base in central-east PEI, winning four ridings that were part of the federal riding of Cardigan, and carried the region. The PC Party also managed to win a single seat on the northern tip of the Island.

Summary of the Legislative Assembly of Prince Edward Island election results


Party		Party leader	Candidates	Seats				Popular vote
Party		Party leader	Candidates	2007	Dissol.	2011	Change	#	%	Change
	Liberal	Robert Ghiz	27	23	24	22	-1	38,315	51.38%	-1.55%
	Progressive Conservative	Olive Crane	27	4	2	5	+1	29,950	40.16%	-1.19%
	Green	Sharon Labchuk	22	-	-	0		3,254	4.36%	+1.32%
	New Democratic	James Rodd	14	-	-	0		2,355	3.16%	+1.20%
	Island	Billy Cann	12	*	-	0		682	0.91%	*
	Independents and no affiliation		1	-	-	0		15	0.02%	-0.71%
	Vacant		-	-	1
Total			103	27	27	27		74,571

* The Island Party of Prince Edward Island was not a registered political party at the time of the 2007 election.

Results by region

Party Name			Cardigan	Malpeque	Charlottetown	Egmont	Total
	Liberal	Seats:	3	8	5	6	22
	Liberal	Popular Vote:	42.54%	52.87%	54.31%	57.01%	51.38%
	Progressive Conservative	Seats:	4	0	0	1	5
	Progressive Conservative	Popular Vote:	49.68%	38.10%	31.16%	38.89%	40.16%
Total seats:			7	8	5	7	27
Parties that won no seats:
	Green	Vote:	651	1,191	927	485	3,254
	Green	Popular Vote:	3.32%	4.81%	7.40%	2.74%	4.36%
	NDP	Vote:	403	932	873	147	2,355
	NDP	Popular Vote:	2.06%	3.77%	6.97%	0.83%	3.16%
	Island Party	Vote:	470	98	19	95	682
	Island Party	Popular Vote:	2.40%	0.40%	0.15%	0.54%	0.91%
	Independent	Vote:		15			15
	Independent	Popular Vote:		0.06%			0.02%

Incumbent MLAs not running for re-election

Progressive Conservative

Michael Currie (resigned, March 28, 2011), Georgetown-St. Peters^[5]
Jim Bagnall, Montague-Kilmuir

Opinion polls

Polling Firm	Date of Polling	Link	Liberal	Progressive Conservatives	Greens	New Democrats
Corporate Research Associates	000000002011-09-29-0000September 29, 2011	HTML	53	36	5	5
Corporate Research Associates	000000002011-08-28-0000August 28, 2011	PDF	59	31	3	7
Corporate Research Associates	000000002011-06-10-0000June 10, 2011	PDF	51	35	2	13
Corporate Research Associates	000000002011-03-09-0000March 9, 2011	PDF	62	25	2	11
Corporate Research Associates	000000002010-12-06-0000December 6, 2010	PDF	53	34	8	4
Corporate Research Associates	000000002010-08-24-0000August 24, 2010	PDF	61	30	2	6
Corporate Research Associates	000000002010-05-31-0000May 31, 2010	PDF	61	27	3	8
Corporate Research Associates	000000002010-02-24-0000February 24, 2010	HTML	64	26	4	6
Corporate Research Associates	000000002009-12-03-0000December 3, 2009	HTML	57	31	3	9
Corporate Research Associates	000000002009-08-01-0000August 2009	HTML	62	27	5	6
Corporate Research Associates	000000002009-05-01-0000May 2009	HTML	57	32	4	7
Corporate Research Associates	000000002009-02-01-0000February 2009	HTML	64	28	2	6
Corporate Research Associates	000000002008-11-01-0000November 2008	HTML	55	31	5	8
Corporate Research Associates	000000002008-08-01-0000August 2008	HTML	63	25	6	6
Corporate Research Associates	000000002008-05-01-0000May 2008	HTML	61	27	4	7
Corporate Research Associates	000000002008-02-01-0000February 2008	HTML	68	34	4	6
Corporate Research Associates	000000002007-11-01-0000November 2007	HTML	64	22	5	5
Election 2007	000000002007-05-28-0000May 28, 2007	HTML	52.9	41.4	3.0	1.9

Riding by riding results

Cardigan

Electoral District							Incumbent
Electoral District	Liberal	PC	Green	NDP	Island	Other	Incumbent
Belfast-Murray River	Charlie McGeoghegan 1,135 - (45.86%)	Darlene Compton 1,127 - (45.54%)	John Burhoe 114 - (4.61%)		Andy Clarey 99 - (4.00%)		Charlie McGeoghegan
Georgetown-St. Peters	Kevin Gotell 1,214 - (41.08%)	Steven Myers 1,575 - (53.30%)	Jason Furness 47 - (1.59%)	Jane Dunphy 87 - (2.94%)	Ray Cantelo 32 - (1.08%)		Vacant
Montague-Kilmuir	Allen Roach 1,127 - (46.57%)	Greg Farrell 1,004 - (41.49%)	Vanessa Young 89 - (3.68%)		Billy Cann 200 - (8.26%)		Jim Bagnall†
Morell-Mermaid	Dan MacDonald 1,033 - (36.51%)	Olive Crane 1,649 - (58.29%)	Darcie Lanthier 114 - (4.03%)		Roger Nowe 33 - (1.17%)		Olive Crane
Souris-Elmira	Allan Campbell 1,272 - (47.46%)	Colin LaVie 1,302 - (48.58%)			Jason MacGregor 106 - (3.96%)		Allan Campbell
Stratford-Kinlock	Cynthia Dunsford 1,241 - (34.15%)	James Aylward 2,020 - (55.59%)	Donald Killorn 168 - (4.62%)	Chris van Ouwerkerk 205 - (5.64%)			Cynthia Dunsford
Vernon River-Stratford	Alan McIsaac 1,311 - (50.52%)	Mary Ellen McInnis 1,054 - (40.62%)	Marion Pirch 119 - (4.59%)	Edith Perry 111 - (4.28%)			Alan McIsaac

Malpeque

Electoral District							Incumbent
Electoral District	Liberal	PC	Green	NDP	Island	Other	Incumbent
Borden-Kinkora	George Webster 1,590 - (49.41%)	Jamie Fox 1,468 - (45.62%)	Conor Leggott 160 - (4.97%)				George Webster
Cornwall-Meadowbank	Ron MacKinley 1,686 - (63.46%)	Larry Hogan 756 - (28.45%)	Allieanna Ballagh 172 - (6.47%)		Jay Gallant 43 - (1.62%)		Ron MacKinley
Kellys Cross-Cumberland	Valerie Docherty 1,768 - (54.10%)	Neila Auld 960 - (29.38%)	Peter Bevan-Baker 306 - (9.36%)	Jesse Reddin Cousins 182 - (5.56%)	Paul Smitz 37 - (1.13%)	Arthur C. Mackenzie 15 - (0.46%)	Valerie Docherty
Kensington-Malpeque	Wes Sheridan 1,820 - (57.18%)	Wilber Lamont 1,165 - (36.60%)		George S. Hunter 198 - (6.22%)			Wes Sheridan
Rustico-Emerald	Carolyn Bertram 1,498 (49.50%)	Brad Trivers 1,341 - (44.32%)	Ron Wagner 187- (6.18%)				Carolyn Bertram
York-Oyster Bed	Robert Vessey 1,988 - (55.30%)	Martie Murphy 1,235 - (34.25%)	Jenet Clement 122 - (3.39%)	James Rodd 250 - (6.95%)			Robert Vessey

Charlottetown

Electoral District							Incumbent
Electoral District	Liberal	PC	Green	NDP	Island	Other	Incumbent
Charlottetown-Brighton	Robert Ghiz 1,228 - (52.46%)	Linda Clements 699 - (29.86%)	Elizabeth Schoales 238 - (10.17%)	Trevor John LeClerc 176 - (7.52%)			Robert Ghiz
Charlottetown-Lewis Point	Kathleen Casey 1,411 - (52.01%)	Parnell Kelly 895 - (32.99%)	Charles Sanderson 132 - (4.87%)	Jacquie Robichaud 275 - (10.14%)			Kathleen Casey
Charlottetown-Parkdale	Doug Currie 1,510 - (61.76%)	Bernie Flynn 665 - (27.20%)	Eliza Knockwood 152 - (6.22%)	Noel Pauley 118 - (4.83%)			Doug Currie
Charlottetown-Sherwood	Robert Mitchell 1,538 - (53.93%)	Mike Gillis 1,060 - (37.17%)	Sarah Jones 127 - (4.45%)	Kat Murphy 127 - (4.45%)			Robert Mitchell
Charlottetown-Victoria Park	Richard Brown 1,112- (51.29%)	Myles MacKinnon 582- (26.85%)	Sharon Labchuk 278 - (12.82%)	Rita Jackson 177 - (8.16%)	Philip Stewart 19 - (0.88%)		Richard Brown
Tracadie-Hillsborough Park	Buck Watts 1,304 - (48.53%)	Glen Kelly 1,136 - (42.28%)	Helene LaRouche 93 - (3.46%)	Ron Kelly 136 - (5.06%)	Gary Chipman 18 - (0.67%)		Buck Watts
West Royalty-Springvale	Bush Dumville 1,432 - (45.93%)	Gary Bowness 1,369 - (43.91%)	Liz Vaine 151 - (4.84%)	Andrew Want 166 - (5.32%)			Bush Dumville

Egmont

Electoral District							Incumbent
Electoral District	Liberal	PC	Green	NDP	Island	Other	Incumbent
Alberton-Roseville	Pat Murphy 1,604 - (56.18%)	David Gordon 1,137 - (39.82%)	Gerald O'Meara 71 - (2.49%)		Mitch Gallant 43 - (1.51%)		Pat Murphy
Evangeline-Miscouche	Sonny Gallant 1,722 - (77.22%)	Edgar Arsenault 418 - (18.74%)	Melissa Hotte 64 - (2.87%)		Arthur Arsenault 26 - (1.17%)		Sonny Gallant
O'Leary-Inverness	Robert Henderson 1,431 - (55.51%)	Daniel MacDonald 1,147 - (44.49%)					Robert Henderson
Summerside-St. Eleanors	Gerard Greenan 1,426 - (51.76%)	Merlin Cormier 1,037 - (37.64%)	Caleb Adams 145 - (5.26%)	Paulette Halupa 147 - (5.30%)			Gerard Greenan
Summerside-Wilmot	Janice Sherry 1,382 - (54.74%)	Shirley Anne Cameron 937 - (37.12%)	Rosalyn Ridlington Abbott 205 - (8.12%)				Janice Sherry
Tignish-Palmer Road	Neil LeClair 1,142 (48.74%)	Hal Perry 1,175 - (50.15%)			Derek D. Peters 26 - (1.11%)		Neil LeClair
Tyne Valley-Linkletter	Paula Biggar 1,390 - (57.27%)	Jim Henwood 1,037 - (42.73%)					Paula Biggar

References

↑ Wayne Thibodeau (January 11, 2011). "Next election will be fought on new ideas, not new spending: Ghiz". the Guardian. Retrieved January 21, 2011.
↑ John Ibbitson (January 10, 2011). "Can Harper wait out the election traffic jam?". Ottawa Notebook. Toronto: Globe and Mail. Retrieved January 21, 2011.
↑ "Ghiz wins 2nd term as P.E.I. premier". CBC News. October 3, 2011.
↑ "Crane and 4 Tories voted in". CBC News. October 4, 2011.
↑ "Currie to run in Cardigan". CBC News, March 28, 2011.

External links

Election Almanac - Prince Edward Island Provincial Election 2011

Elections and referendums in Prince Edward Island

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See also: List of Prince Edward Island by-elections

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