66th Prince Edward Island general election

66th Prince Edward Island general election
Prince Edward Island
On or before October 7, 2019 (2019-10-07)
All 27 seats in the Legislative Assembly of Prince Edward Island
14 seats needed for a majority
Opinion polls
 
LIB
PC
Leader Wade MacLauchlan Jamie Fox (interim)
Party Liberal Progressive Conservative
Leader since February 21, 2015 October 15, 2015[1]
Leader's seat York-Oyster Bed Borden-Kinkora
Last election 18 seats, 40.83% 8 seats, 37.39%
Current seats 18 8
 
NDP
Leader Peter Bevan-Baker Michael Redmond
Party Green New Democratic
Leader since November 3, 2012 October 13, 2012
Leader's seat Kellys Cross-Cumberland TBA
Last election 1 seat, 10.81% 0 seats, 10.97%
Current seats 1 0
Incumbent Premier

Wade MacLauchlan
Liberal

The 66th Prince Edward Island general election is tentatively scheduled to be held on October 7, 2019, as the Prince Edward Island Elections Act requires a provincial election to be held on the first Monday of October in the fourth calendar year unless it is dissolved earlier by the Lieutenant Governor of Prince Edward Island due to a motion of no-confidence or at the request of the Premier.[2]

Background

In the previous election, on May 4, 2015, the Liberal party, led by Premier Wade MacLauchlan, was re-elected to a majority government. The official opposition Progressive Conservatives, under leader Rob Lantz, increased its seat count from 3 before the election to 8, despite Lantz losing in Charlottetown-Brighton. Meanwhile, the Green party, under leader Peter Bevan-Baker, won its first ever seat, Bevan-Baker's, in Kellys Cross-Cumberland.[3] Despite the increase in the Progressive Conservatives' seat count, on September 23 of that year, Lantz stepped down as leader.[4] On October 15, Borden-Kinkora MLA Jamie Fox was chosen as the interim leader of the Progressive Conservatives pending a leadership election, the date for which has not yet been chosen. [1]

Standings

Summary of the standings of the Legislative Assembly of Prince Edward Island

Party Party leader Seats
2015 Current
Liberal Wade MacLauchlan 18 18
Progressive Conservative Jamie Fox (interim) 8 8
Green Peter Bevan-Baker 1 1
  Vacant 0
Total 27 27

Timeline

2015

2016

Opinion polls

The following is a list of scientific opinion polls of published voter intentions.

Pollster Date Liberal PC Green NDP Margin
MQO July 19, 2016 64 14 6 16 48
Corporate Research Associates May 30, 2016 58 20 16 7 38
MQO April 6, 2016 69 17 9 5 52
Corporate Research Associates March 7, 2016 61 19 11 9 42
Corporate Research Associates December 1, 2015 61 18 11 9 43
Corporate Research Associates September 2, 2015 46 22 14 18 24
Corporate Research Associates May 28, 2015 40 24 17 19 16
2015 election May 4, 2015 40.8 37.4 10.8 11.0 3.4

References

  1. 1 2 3 "Jamie Fox named Progressive Conservative interim leader". CBC News. Retrieved April 3, 2016.
  2. ↑ "Elections Act" (PDF). Government of Prince Edward Island. Retrieved August 6, 2015.
  3. 1 2 "Liberals win majority in P.E.I. election". CBC News. Retrieved April 3, 2016.
  4. 1 2 "P.E.I. Progressive Conservative Leader Rob Lantz resigns as leader". CBC News. Retrieved April 3, 2016.
  5. ↑ MacPhee, Nancy. "Janice Sherry calling it quits". The Guardian (1 August 2016). Charlottetown, PEI. Retrieved 8 November 2016.
  6. ↑ Wright, Teresa. "Chris Palmer wins Summerside-Wilmot with 42.3 per cent of the vote". The Guardian (17 October 2016). Charlottetown, PEI. Retrieved 8 November 2016.
  7. ↑ "Voting begins in P.E.I. plebiscite on electoral reform". CBC News. Retrieved 29 October 2016.
  8. ↑ Bradley, Susan (8 November 2016). "P.E.I. plebiscite results favour mixed member proportional representaton". CBC News. Retrieved 8 November 2016.
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