42nd Quebec general election

42nd Quebec general election
Quebec
On or before October 1, 2018 (2018-10-01)

125 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec
63 seats needed for a majority
Opinion polls
 
Leader Philippe Couillard Jean-François Lisée
Party Liberal Parti Québécois
Leader since March 17, 2013 October 7, 2016
Leader's seat Roberval Rosemont
Last election 70 seats, 41.52% 30 seats, 25.38%
Current seats 69 28

 
Leader François Legault Françoise David and Andrés Fontecilla (as spokespeople)
Party Coalition Avenir Québec Québec solidaire
Leader since November 4, 2011 David: February 4, 2006
Fontecilla: May 5, 2013
Leader's seat L'Assomption David: Gouin
Fontecilla: N/A
Last election 22 seats, 23.05% 3 seats, 7.63%
Current seats 20 3

Incumbent Premier

Philippe Couillard
Liberal


The 42nd Quebec general election is tentatively scheduled for October 1, 2018 to elect members to the National Assembly of Quebec.

Under the province's fixed election date law, passed in 2013, the election is to be held on the first Monday in October of the fourth calendar year following the last day of the previous Legislature,[1] setting the date for October 1, 2018. However, the chief electoral officer can change the election date in the event of a natural disaster. Furthermore, the Lieutenant Governor can call an election sooner should the premier request one, or in the event the government is dissolved by a motion of no confidence.[2] Such a dissolution is unlikely as the current government has a majority.

Timeline

2014

2015

2016

Party standings

Summary of the current standings of the
National Assembly of Quebec

Party Party leader Seats
2014 Current
Liberal Philippe Couillard 70 69
Parti Québécois Jean-François Lisée 30 28
Coalition Avenir Québec François Legault 22 20
Québec solidaire Françoise David
Andrés Fontecilla
3 3
  Independent 0 1
  Vacant 4
Total 125 125

Note:

The party avoids formally designating David and Fontecilla as co-leaders, as the party's power is held by the general meetings of the members and a board of 16 directors; the de jure leader recognized by the Chief Electoral Officer of Quebec (DGE) is Pierre-Paul St-Onge.[26]

Opinion polls

Evolution of voting intentions for the 42nd Quebec general election. Dots are individual poll results and trend lines are local regressions with 95% confidence interval.
Polling firm Last date of polling Link QLP PQ CAQ QS Other
CROP November 21, 2016 PDF 36 24 26 11 3
Léger Marketing November 10, 2016 PDF 31 30 25 10 4
CROP October 17, 2016 PDF 37 30 22 9 2
Léger Marketing September 29, 2016 PDF 35 29 23 10 4
CROP September 19, 2016 PDF 37 27 26 9 1
Léger Marketing September 1, 2016 PDF 34 29 23 10 4
CROP August 15, 2016 HTML 35 25 25 12 4
CROP June 19, 2016 HTML 34 25 24 14 3
Léger Marketing June 8, 2016 PDF 32 30 24 10 4
CROP May 23, 2016 PDF 34 26 27 11 3
Léger Marketing May 5, 2016 PDF 35 30 21 10 4
CROP April 18, 2016 HTML 33 26 25 14 3
Léger Marketing March 22, 2016 PDF 33 30 22 10 6
CROP March 21, 2016 HTML 32 30 24 11 3
CROP February 15, 2016 PDF 36 31 18 12 3
Léger Marketing February 4, 2016 PDF 36 29 21 10 5
CROP January 18, 2016 PDF 35 27 19 16 3
CROP December 14, 2015 PDF 37 30 17 13 3
Léger Marketing November 19, 2015 PDF 35 32 20 10 2
CROP November 18, 2015 PDF 36 35 16 12 2
CROP October 18, 2015 PDF 36 33 16 12 3
CROP September 20, 2015 PDF 37 30 18 13 2
CROP August 17, 2015 PDF 33 29 23 13 2
CROP June 16, 2015 HTML 34 34 17 13 2
Léger Marketing June 11, 2015 PDF 36 32 20 10 2
CROP May 20, 2015 HTML 29 33 20 15 3
Léger Marketing May 17, 2015 PDF 32 34 20 10 3
CROP April 20, 2015 PDF 34 27 25 12 2
Léger Marketing April 9, 2015 PDF 37 28 21 10 4
CROP March 15, 2015 HTML 29 27 26 16 2
CROP February 15, 2015 HTML 37 26 22 11 3
Léger Marketing February 5, 2015 PDF 37 25 25 9 4
CROP January 19, 2015 PDF 35 26 23 13 4
CROP December 15, 2014 HTML 35 28 27 10 1
Léger Marketing December 11, 2014 PDF 34 26 26 11 3
CROP November 17, 2014 HTML 36 23 24 14 3
Léger Marketing November 13, 2014 PDF 36 26 26 10 2
CROP October 20, 2014 PDF 40 25 23 12 0
Léger Marketing September 25, 2014 PDF 38 21 28 10 3
CROP September 22, 2014 PDF 35 21 30 13 1
Léger Marketing August 25, 2014 PDF 41 22 23 10 4
CROP August 18, 2014 PDF 41 18 27 12 2
Léger Marketing June 18, 2014 PDF 40 20 27 9 4
CROP June 16, 2014 PDF 39 19 29 10 3
Léger Marketing June 5, 2014 PDF 39 20 29 9 3
CROP May 19, 2014 PDF 41 22 24 10 3
Léger Marketing May 8, 2014 PDF 40 19 27 11 3
CROP April 21, 2014 PDF 40 22 23 11 3*
2014 election April 7, 2014 HTML 41.52 25.38 23.05 7.63 2.42

* Includes 1% for Option nationale

See also

External links

References

  1. "Bill n°3: An Act to amend the Election Act for the purpose of establishing fixed-date elections". National Assembly of Québec. Retrieved July 19, 2013.
  2. "Future Quebec elections to be held on first Monday in October". CTV News. June 14, 2013. Retrieved June 14, 2013.
  3. Blatchford, Andy (April 8, 2014). "Pauline Marois Resigns PQ Leadership After Crushing Defeat". The Canadian Press. Retrieved April 8, 2014.
  4. "PQ elects Stephane Bedard to interim leader post". CTV News. April 10, 2014. Retrieved April 10, 2014.
  5. Authier, Philip (August 15, 2014). "CAQ heavyweight Christian Dubé leaving politics". The Gazette. Retrieved August 16, 2014.
  6. Ouellet, Martin (September 29, 2014). "Elaine Zakaïb, PQ Member, Quits Politics To Run Jacob". The Canadian Press. Retrieved September 29, 2014.
  7. "Pierre Karl Péladeau working to soften his image ahead of potential PQ leadership run". Montreal Gazette. September 26, 2014.
  8. Vendeville, Geoffrey (October 21, 2014). "CAQ holds the fort in Lévis byelection". The Montreal Gazette. Retrieved October 21, 2014.
  9. Authier, Philip (February 26, 2015). "Yves Bolduc turns his back on politics, heads back to medicine". Montreal Gazette. Retrieved February 26, 2015.
  10. "Parti Québécois wins Richelieu riding in byelection". CBC. March 10, 2015. Retrieved March 10, 2015.
  11. "Gérard Deltell jumps into federal politics with Conservatives". CBC News. April 7, 2015. Retrieved April 7, 2015.
  12. "Pierre Karl Peladeau elected leader of Parti Quebecois". CTV News. May 15, 2015. Retrieved May 15, 2015.
  13. http://resultats.dgeq.org/resultatsOfficiels.en.html?circ=643
  14. http://resultats.dgeq.org/resultatsOfficiels.en.html?circ=613
  15. Lau, Rachel (August 21, 2015). "Marguerite Blais quits politics, needed a challenge". Global News. Retrieved October 12, 2015.
  16. "MNA Gilles Ouimet to quit politics". Montreal Gazette. August 24, 2015. Retrieved October 12, 2015.
  17. "Sylvie Roy quits CAQ to sit as independent". CTV News. August 26, 2015. Retrieved August 26, 2015.
  18. Plante, Caroline (September 3, 2015). "PQ MNA Marjolain Dufour quits for health reasons". Montreal Gazette. Retrieved October 12, 2015.
  19. "Robert Dutil, former Quebec cabinet minister, retiring from National Assembly". CBC News. September 22, 2015. Retrieved October 12, 2015.
  20. Plante, Caroline (October 22, 2015). "Veteran PQ MNA Stéphane Bédard quits Parti Québécois". Montreal Gazette. Retrieved October 22, 2015.
  21. "Le PLQ et le PQ en voie de conserver leurs sièges". Le Devoir, November 9, 2015.
  22. "Élection partielle dans Chicoutimi le 11 avril". Radio Canada. March 9, 2016. Retrieved March 9, 2016.
  23. http://www.ledevoir.com/politique/quebec/469734/pkp-doit-faire-une-importante-declaration-vers-14h
  24. "MNA Sylvie Roy dies following serious illness". CTV Montreal. August 1, 2016. Retrieved August 1, 2016.
  25. http://www.lapresse.ca/actualites/politique/politique-quebecoise/201610/20/01-5032524-allegations-dagression-sexuelle-gerry-sklavounos-force-de-se-retirer-du-caucus-liberal.php
  26. "Québec solidaire". DGE. Retrieved April 8, 2014.
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