United States Senate election in Kansas, 2014

United States Senate election in Kansas, 2014
Kansas
November 4, 2014

 
Nominee Pat Roberts Greg Orman
Party Republican Independent
Popular vote 460,350 368,372
Percentage 53.15% 42.53%

County results

U.S. Senator before election

Pat Roberts
Republican

Elected U.S. Senator

Pat Roberts
Republican

The 2014 United States Senate election in Kansas was held on November 4, 2014, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Kansas, concurrently with other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.

Incumbent Republican Senator Pat Roberts was re-elected to a fourth term against Independent Greg Orman and Libertarian nominee Randall Batson. The Democratic nominee, Chad Taylor, withdrew from the race.

Republican primary

Roberts gained negative press attention after criticism that he did not own a home in Kansas, with some comparing the situation to that of former Indiana Senator Richard Lugar, who lost a 2012 Senate primary after a similar residency controversy.[1] Roberts owns a home in Alexandria, Virginia.[2] The primary was held August 5, 2014.[3]

Primary opponent Milton R. Wolf, a radiologist, was under investigation by a state medical ethics board for posting X-ray images of dead patients with macabre commentary to Facebook.[4]

Candidates

Declared

Declined

Endorsements

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Pat
Roberts
D.J.
Smith
Milton
Wolf
Alvin
Zahnter
Other Undecided
Daily Kos/Google Consumer Surveys August 4, 2014 1,002 ± 3.1% 53.4% 39.1% 7.5%
SurveyUSA July 17–22, 2014 691 ± 3.8% 50% 6% 30% 3% 12%
GEB International July 9, 2014 500 ± 4.28% 42% 30% 28%
SurveyUSA June 19–23, 2014 508 ± 4.4% 56% 23% 8% 12%
Public Policy Polling February 18–20, 2014 375 ± 5.1% 49% 23% 28%
The Tarrance Group^ January 13–15, 2014 501 ± 4.5% 69% 15% 16%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Pat
Roberts
Someone
More Conservative
Undecided
Public Policy Polling February 18–20, 2014 375 ± 5.1% 43% 39% 18%
Public Policy Polling February 21–24, 2013 760 ± 3.6% 42% 34% 24%

Results

Republican primary results[34]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Pat Roberts 127,089 48.08
Republican Milton Wolf 107,799 40.78
Republican D.J. Smith 15,288 5.78
Republican Alvin E. Zahnter 13,935 5.27
Total votes 264,340 100

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

Declined

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Chad
Taylor
Patrick
Wiesner
Undecided
KSN News/SurveyUSA July 17–22, 2014 322 ± 5.6% 48% 17% 35%
KSN News/SurveyUSA June 19–23, 2014 252 ± 6.3% 41% 16% 43%

Results

Democratic primary results[34]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Chad Taylor 35,067 53.3
Democratic Patrick Wiesner 30,752 46.7
Total votes 65,819 100

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Declared

Independents

Candidates

Declared

General election

Campaign

On September 3, Democratic nominee Chad Taylor withdrew from the race.[42] On September 4, Kris Kobach, the Republican Kansas Secretary of State, announced that Taylor would remain on the ballot because state law demands he declare himself "incapable of fulfilling the duties of office if elected" in order to be removed, which he did not do.[43] Taylor challenged the decision, and on September 18 the Kansas Supreme Court decided that his name would be taken off the ballot.[44]

On the same day, Kobach demanded the chairman of the Democratic Party name a replacement in eight days, saying he will consider litigation to force the party if they refuse.[45]

A registered Democrat with family ties to Republican Governor Sam Brownback's campaign also filed a petition with the Kansas Supreme Court on September 18 to force the Democratic Party to name a new candidate.[46] Kobach ordered ballots to be mailed to overseas voters on September 20 without a Democratic candidate, but included a disclaimer that another ballot will be sent if the Democratic Party names a replacement candidate.[47]

The state district court in Shawnee County threw out the petition, meaning no replacement for Taylor needed to be named. [48]

In the United States Senate election in Kansas, 2002, Roberts also had no Democratic opponent.

Roberts defeated Orman in the general election, winning reelection to a 4th term in office.

If Orman had been elected, the U.S. Senate would have had three independent Senators for the first time in the chamber’s history. This—and the question of whom Orman would choose to caucus with if elected—were very large questions in the electoral contest, and because the Kansas race was showing tight in the polls, a subject of considerable national political discourse as well.[49]

Fundraising

Candidate Raised Spent Cash on Hand Debt
Greg Orman (I) $2,461,766 $3,298,186 $183,599 $1,124,982
Pat Roberts (R) $5,383,491 $5,534,415 $927,449 0

Endorsements

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Pat
Roberts (R)
Chad
Taylor (D)
Greg
Orman (I)
Randall
Batson (L)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling November 1–3, 2014 963 ± 3.2% 46% 47% 3% 4%
47% 49% 3%
Public Policy Polling October 30–31, 2014 752 ± ? 47% 46% 3% 4%
YouGov October 25–31, 2014 1,137 ± 4.8% 38% 37% 2% 2% 22%
Fox News October 28–30, 2014 907 ± 3% 43% 44% 3% 1% 8%
Survey USA October 22–26, 2014 623 ± 4% 42% 44% 4% 10%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov October 16–23, 2014 1,973 ± 4% 42% 38% 1% 0% 18%
NBC News/Marist October 18–22, 2014 757 LV ± 3.6% 44% 45% 4% <1% 7%
1,055 RV ± 3% 42% 45% 4% 1% 9%
Gravis Marketing October 20–21, 2014 1,124 ± 3% 45% 47% 8%
Rasmussen Reports October 20–21, 2014 960 ± 3% 44% 49% 3% 5%
Monmouth University October 16–19, 2014 429 ± 4.7% 46% 46% 3% 5%
Remington Research October 9–12, 2014 1,091 ± 2.97% 48% 46% 2% 4%
Public Policy Polling October 9–12, 2014 1,081 ± 3% 41% 44% 5% 10%
43% 46% 11%
Rasmussen Reports October 7–8, 2014 750 ± 4% 40% 52% 4% 4%
Fox News October 4–7, 2014 702 ± 3.5% 44% 39% 3% 4% 12%
CNN/ORC October 2–6, 2014 687 ± 3.5% 49% 48% 3%
SurveyUSA October 2–5, 2014 549 ± 4.3% 42% 47% 4% 7%
Gravis Marketing September 30–October 1, 2014 850 ± 3% 40% 47% 13%
NBC News/Marist September 27–October 1, 2014 511 LV ± 4.3% 38% 48% 5% 1% 9%
848 RV ± 3.4% 36% 46% 5% 1% 12%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov September 20–October 1, 2014 2,013 ± 3% 40% 40% 2% 0% 17%
Suffolk University September 27–30, 2014 500 ± 4.4% 41.2% 46.4% 0.8% 11.6%
Remington Research September 23, 2014 625 ± 3.91% 42% 50% 3% 5%
Rasmussen Reports September 16–17, 2014 750 ± 4% 40% 3%[lower-alpha 1] 45% 2% 10%
39% 9%[lower-alpha 2] 38% 2% 12%
Fox News September 14–16, 2014 604 ± 4% 40% 11%[lower-alpha 3] 38% 4% 8%
42% 48% 8%
Public Policy Polling September 11–14, 2014 1,328 ± 2.7% 34% 6%[lower-alpha 4] 41% 4% 15%
36% 46% 17%
KSN News/SurveyUSA September 4–7, 2014 555 ± 4.2% 36% 10% 37% 6% 11%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov August 18–September 2, 2014 839 ± 5% 47% 35% 2% 15%
KSN News/SurveyUSA August 20–23, 2014 560 ± 4.2% 37% 32% 20% 4% 6%
Public Policy Polling August 14–17, 2014 903 ± 3.3% 32% 25% 23% 3% 17%
43% 39% 17%
33% 43% 24%
Rasmussen Reports August 6–7, 2014 750 ± 4% 44% 40% 7% 8%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov July 5–24, 2014 1,281 ± 6.1% 53% 37% 7% 4%
SurveyUSA July 17–22, 2014 1,208 ± 2.9% 38% 33% 14% 4% 10%
SurveyUSA June 19–23, 2014 1068 ± 3.1% 43% 33% 7% 5% 12%
Rasmussen Reports April 16–17, 2014 750 ± 4% 50% 32% 5% 13%
Public Policy Polling February 18–20, 2014 693 ± 3.7% 48% 32% 20%

Results

Kansas's US Senate election, 2014[63]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Pat Roberts 460,350 53.15
Independent Greg Orman 368,372 42.53
Libertarian Randall Batson 37,469 4.33
Total votes 866,191 100

See also

Notes

  1. Rasmussen does not specify whether respondents were given the option of voting for a withdrawn Taylor, or they specifically named him
  2. With Taylor still listed on the ballot
  3. Poll did not tell respondents that Taylor has withdrawn
  4. Poll did not tell respondents that Taylor has withdrawn until after they answered[62]

References

  1. Martin, Jonathan (February 7, 2014). "Lacking a House, a Senator Is Renewing His Ties in Kansas". New York Times. Retrieved February 21, 2014.
  2. Martin, Jonathan (September 4, 2014). "National G.O.P. Moves to Take Over Campaign of Kansas Senator". The New York Times. Retrieved September 4, 2014.
  3. "Milton Wolf demanding GOP foe Pat Roberts be kept off ballot". The Kansas City Star. May 2, 2014.
  4. "Kansas ethics board investigating Wolf's X-ray posts to Facebook | Cjonline.com Mobile". M.cjonline.com. July 22, 2014. Retrieved August 8, 2014.
  5. "Roberts already planning 2014 bid". The Hutchinson News. October 31, 2009.
  6. 1 2 3 Marso, Andy (June 2, 2014). "New challengers for Roberts, Jenkins seats file". The Topeka Capital-Journal. Retrieved June 25, 2014.
  7. Stafford, Grae (October 8, 2013). "Tea party radiologist to primary Kansas Republican for Senate seat". The Daily Caller. Retrieved October 8, 2013.
  8. 1 2 "Roberts Announcement Squashes Notion of Primary Challenge". National Journal. 28 March 2013.
  9. "In case there's any doubt: Kris Kobach running for re-election in 2014". Midwest Democracy. 1 February 2013. Retrieved 29 July 2013.
  10. "Pyle mulls joining U.S. Senate primary". The Topeka Capital-Journal. May 23, 2014. Retrieved May 27, 2014.
  11. "Kansas candidate filing deadline passes". Star-Telegram. June 2, 2014. Archived from the original on June 7, 2014. Retrieved July 28, 2014.
  12. "Right targets Saxby Chambliss, Lindsey Graham". Politico. 2 December 2012.
  13. Kraske, Steve (May 29, 2014). "Todd Tiahrt will run for his old seat in Congress". The Kansas City Star. Retrieved May 29, 2014.
  14. 1 2 "PPat Roberts to bring Jeb Bush to campaign in Wichita; Sarah Palin in Independence". Wichita Eagle. Retrieved September 22, 2014.
  15. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 "Pat Roberts for Senate Announces Honorary Statewide Campaign Committee". Pat Robert for US Senate. Retrieved September 13, 2013.
  16. Archived September 18, 2013, at the Wayback Machine.
  17. Erickson, Erick (December 18, 2013). "Dr. Milton Wolf for Senate". RedState.com. Retrieved January 27, 2014.
  18. 1 2 "Former State Representatives Jana Goodman and Charlotte O'Hara Endorse Milton Wolf for U.S. Senate". Milton Wolf for US Senate. November 12, 2013. Retrieved December 5, 2013.
  19. "State Representative Ron Highland Endorses Dr. Milton Wolf for U.S. Senate". Milton Wolf for US Senate. January 23, 2014. Retrieved January 27, 2014.
  20. "State Representative Mike Houser Endorses Dr. Milton Wolf for U.S. Senate". Milton Wolf for US Senate. December 4, 2013. Retrieved December 5, 2013.
  21. "State Representative Josh Powell Endorses Milton Wolf for U.S. Senate". Milton Wolf for US Senate. November 18, 2013. Retrieved December 5, 2013.
  22. "State Representative Marty Read Endorses Dr. Milton Wolf for U.S. Senate". Milton Wolf for US Senate. November 19, 2013. Retrieved December 5, 2013.
  23. Botteri, Christina (January 26, 2014). "Senate Challenger Milton Wolf Ties Incumbent Roberts in Straw Poll at Kansas GOP Convention". TCOT Report. Retrieved January 27, 2014.
  24. "Mark Levin endorses Senate Challenger Dr. Milton Wolf".
  25. "Flint Hills Tea Party Endorses Dr. Milton Wolf". Milton Wolf for US Senate. January 20, 2014. Retrieved January 27, 2014.
  26. "Kansans for Constitutional Government Endorse Dr. Milton Wolf for U.S. Senate". Milton Wolf for US Senate. November 11, 2013. Retrieved December 5, 2013.
  27. "Kansans for Constitutional Integrity Endorse Dr. Milton Wolf for U.S. Senate". Milton Wolf for US Senate. January 23, 2014. Retrieved January 27, 2014.
  28. "Madison Project Endorses Dr. Milton Wolf for U.S. Senate". Milton Wolf for US Senate. December 19, 2013. Retrieved January 27, 2014.
  29. "National Association for Gun Rights Endorses Dr. Milton Wolf for U.S. Senate". Milton Wolf for US Senate. March 24, 2014. Retrieved April 18, 2014.
  30. "Republican Liberty Caucus Endorses Milton Wolf for U.S. Senate in Kansas". PR Underground. January 27, 2014. Retrieved January 28, 2014.
  31. Hohmann, James (December 10, 2013). "Milton Wolf gets conservative backing". Politico. Retrieved December 10, 2013.
  32. "Southeast Kansas Conservatives Endorse Dr. Milton Wolf for U.S. Senate". Milton Wolf for US Senate. January 23, 2014. Retrieved January 27, 2014.
  33. Jaffe, Alexandra (February 27, 2014). "Tea Party Express endorses Roberts's primary challenger". The Hill. Retrieved February 27, 2014.
  34. 1 2 "2014 Primary Election Official Vote Totals" (PDF). Kansas Secretary of State. Retrieved August 28, 2014.
  35. "Northeast Kansas prosecutor running for US Senate". KAKE. February 27, 2014. Retrieved February 28, 2014.
  36. Hanna, John (November 1, 2013). "Northeast Kansas DA exploring run for US Senate". The State.
  37. Peters, Jeremy (April 16, 2014). "Sebelius Said to Weigh Run for Kansas Senate Seat". The New York Times. Retrieved April 16, 2014.
  38. Kludt, Tom (April 18, 2014). "Sebelius Says She Won't Run For Senate". Talking Points Memo. Retrieved April 18, 2014.
  39. Sloan, Nick (June 25, 2014). "POLL: Davis leads Brownback 47-41; Republicans up in other races". Kansas City Kansan. Retrieved July 18, 2014.
  40. http://www.marketwired.com/press-release/greg-orman-for-us-senate-launches-campaign-website-810726.htm
  41. http://www.kansas.com/2014/06/05/3493799/olathe-businessman-greg-orman.html
  42. Taylor withdraws from the race CJONLINE.COM
  43. Lowry, Bryan (September 4, 2014), "Kobach: Democrat Chad Taylor's name will remain on ballot for U.S. Senate", The Wichita Eagle, retrieved September 4, 2014
  44. Carpenter, Tim (September 18, 2014). "Court permits Taylor to withdraw from Senate race". The Topeka Capital-Journal. Retrieved September 18, 2014.
  45. "Supreme Court: Democrat Chad Taylor's name can be taken off ballot for U.S. Senate". The Wichita Eagle. September 18, 2014. Retrieved September 18, 2014.
  46. Associated Press (September 18, 2014). "Kansas father of Brownback staffer files suit to force new Democrat on ballot". The Topeka Capital-Journal. Retrieved September 18, 2014.
  47. Associated Press (September 19, 2014). "Kobach to add disclaimer to Kansas Senate ballots". Kansas City Star. Retrieved September 19, 2014.
  48. Associated Press (October 1, 2014). "Breaking: Kansas Court Kills Kobach Effort To Force A Dem Onto Senate Ballot". Talking Points Memo. Retrieved October 1, 2014.
  49. Ostermeier, Eric (October 1, 2014). "Rise of the Independents? Greg Orman Victory Would Make Senate History". Smart Politics.
  50. Carpenter, Tim. "Republican group endorses Orman for Senate" Topeka Capital-Journal September 3, 2014
  51. "Breaking News: The Centrist Project Voice Endorses a Wide Portfolio of Moderate Candidates". The Centrist Project. July 9, 2014. Retrieved August 27, 2014.
  52. "AFL-CIO to Back Greg Orman in Kansas Senate Race". National Journal. October 15, 2014. Retrieved October 17, 2014.
  53. Clarkin, Mary (August 22, 2014). "Sherow splits with Dems in Senate race to back Orman". The Hutchinson News. Retrieved August 27, 2014.
  54. "2014 Endorsements". Human Rights Campaign. October 8, 2014. Retrieved October 25, 2014.
  55. "Republican Group Announces Endorsement For Greg Orman". wibw. September 3, 2014. Retrieved September 16, 2014.
  56. "Greg Orman for U.S. Senate". Women for Kansas. August 3, 2014. Retrieved August 27, 2014.
  57. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 61 62 63 64 65 66 67 68 69 70 71 72 73 74 75 76 77 78 79 80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 100 101 102 103 104 105 106 107 108 109 110 111 112 113 114 115 116 117 118 119 120 121 122 123 124 125 126 127 128 129 "Endorsements". Pat Roberts for Senate. Retrieved October 28, 2014.
  58. Milton Wolf (October 30, 2014). "My fellow patriots". Facebook. Retrieved October 31, 2014.
  59. "NFIB Endorses Sen. Pat Roberts". National Federation of Independent Business. October 3, 2014. Retrieved October 28, 2014.
  60. "NRA Endorses Pat Roberts for U.S. Senate in Kansas". National Rifle Association. September 8, 2014. Retrieved October 28, 2014.
  61. "Tea Party Express Endorses Senator Pat Roberts". Tea Party Express. October 13, 2014. Retrieved October 28, 2014.
  62. Blumenthal, Mark; Edwards-Levy, Ariel; Lienesch, Rachel (September 16, 2014). "Poll Finds Pat Roberts Trailing Independent Candidate". The Huffington Post. Retrieved September 16, 2014.
  63. "2014 Official Kansas General Election Results" (PDF). Retrieved December 29, 2014.
Official campaign websites
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