Opinion polling for the Spanish general election, 1996

In the run up to the 1996 Spanish general election, various organisations carried out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in Spain. Results of such polls are displayed in this article.

The date range for these opinion polls are from the previous general election, held on 6 June 1993, to the day the next election was held, on 3 March 1996.

Party vote

Poll results

Poll results are listed in the tables below in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first, and using the date the survey's fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. If such date is unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed in bold, and the background shaded in the leading party's colour. In the instance that there is a tie, then no figure is shaded. The lead column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the two parties with the highest figures. When a specific poll does not show a data figure for a party, the party's cell corresponding to that poll is shown empty.

Color key:

Multi-scenario poll Poll conducted after legal ban on opinion polls Exit poll

Polling firm/Link	Last date of polling							Margin of error	Sample size	Lead
Polling firm/Link	Last date of polling							Margin of error	Sample size	Lead

General Election	March 3, 1996	37.6	38.8	10.5	4.6	0.2	1.3			1.2

Eco Consulting	March 3, 1996	34.8	40.2	11.2	4.4		1.4			5.4
Demoscopia	March 3, 1996	34.7	40.7	11.2	4.6		1.1			6.0
Sigma Dos	March 3, 1996	33.7	41.1	11.4	4.2		1.6			7.4
CIS	March 1, 1996	36.8	39.2	11.5	4.0		0.9	±2.0 pp	2,491	2.4
Metra Seis	February 25, 1996	32.2	41.7	11.9	4.2		1.3	±0.8 pp	15,000	9.5
Sigma Dos	February 24, 1996	31.4	42.3	12.2	4.2		1.5	±1.3 pp	6,048	10.9
Inner Line	February 22, 1996	36.1	40.6	11.9	4.4			±1.3 pp	6,048	4.5
Demoscopia	February 21, 1996	33.4	42.4	12.3	4.2		1.1	±1.7 pp	3,500	9.0
CIS	February 21, 1996	34.1	41.2	11.4	4.5		1.3	±1.2 pp	6,642	7.1
Opina	February 20, 1996	35.0	41.0	10.5	4.5		1.5	±2.0 pp	2,369	6.0
Metra Seis	February 19, 1996	32.5	41.5	12.0	4.0			±1.1 pp	7,566	9.0
Vox Pública	February 16, 1996	33.5	41.2	11.7	4.5		1.3	±0.9 pp	12,069	7.7
Tábula-V	February 10, 1996	32.5	44.1	12.8	4.2		0.8	±1.8 pp	3,000	11.6
Sigma Dos	February 8, 1996	31.5	41.8	11.9	4.2		1.3	±3.2 pp	1,000	10.3
Demoscopia	February 7, 1996	32.6	41.7	12.8	4.5		1.3	±1.7 pp	3,500	9.1
Opina	February 6, 1996	34.0	40.5	11.0	4.5		1.5	±2.8 pp	1,185	6.5
Tábula-V	February 5, 1996	29.8	40.0	14.3	4.9		1.1	±1.3 pp	4,503	10.2
PP	February 3, 1996	31.5	42.0	13.5	4.2		1.0			10.5
Vox Pública	January 31, 1996	31.8	42.5	12.0	4.4			±2.2 pp	2,028	10.7
Gallup	January 31, 1996	34.5	38.8	12.4	5.0		1.3	±2.2 pp	2,010	4.3
Tábula-V	January 26, 1996	30.0	43.0	11.0	5.5		1.5	±2.9 pp	1,200	13.0
Sigma Dos/Vox Pública	January 25, 1996	31.4	41.4	12.6	4.0		1.4	±0.9 pp	11,000	10.0
Demoscopia	January 14, 1996	33.8	40.5	12.2	4.5		1.1	±2.0 pp	2,500	6.7
CIS	January 14, 1996	33.7	40.6	11.0	4.4	0.4	1.3	±2.0 pp	2,499	6.9
Sigma Dos	January 11, 1996	30.9	40.6	13.0	4.4		1.3	±3.2 pp	1,000	9.7
Opina	January 9, 1996	34.0	39.5	10.5	4.5		1.5	±2.5 pp	1,500	5.5
Gallup	January 7, 1996	32.7	39.0	12.9	4.6		0.9	±2.2 pp	2,031	6.3
Sigma Dos/Vox Pública	January 4, 1996	31.2	40.3	13.1	4.6		1.2	±3.2 pp	1,000	9.1
Sigma Dos/Vox Pública	December 20, 1995	31.5	40.2	13.3	4.7		1.2	±3.2 pp	1,000	8.7
Tábula-V	December 18, 1995	25	41	16						16
Sigma Dos	December 14, 1995	30.2	41.3	13.6	4.7		1.2	±3.2 pp	1,000	11.1
CIS	December 14, 1995	33.7	40.5	11.9	5.0	0.5	1.3	±2.0 pp	2,478	6.8
Imagen & Opinión	November 23, 1995	32.7	42.4	12.8	4.5		1.2	±3.1 pp	1,000	9.7
CIS	November 13, 1995	32.1	39.4	13.3	5.1	0.5	1.3	±2.0 pp	2,486	7.3
PSOE	October 8, 1995	32.5	38.5					±1.8 pp	3,000	6.0
Eco Consulting	October 6, 1995	31.0	39.6	12.3	5.1			±2.3 pp	1,870	8.6
Demoscopia	October 2, 1995	29.8	41.5							11.7
CIS	September 17, 1995	31.9	40.2	12.7	5.2	1.3	1.3	±2.0 pp	2,493	8.3
Sigma Dos	September 14, 1995	28.3	42.0	14.1	4.7		1.2	±3.2 pp	1,000	13.7
Sigma Dos	July 31, 1995	29.3	41.7	13.5	4.6		1.3	±3.2 pp	1,000	12.4
CIS	July 17, 1995	31.7	41.5	13.0	4.5	0.9	1.2	±2.0 pp	2,494	9.8
CIS	June 30, 1995	32.3	42.2	12.0	4.4	0.8	1.2	±2.0 pp	2,484	9.9
CIS	June 19, 1995	31.6	41.8	13.3	5.0	0.1	1.3	±1.2 pp	6,510	10.2
CIS	May 31, 1995	32.0	42.6	12.3	4.4	0.5	1.3	±2.0 pp	2,492	10.6
Municipal Elections	May 28, 1995	30.8	35.3	11.7	4.4	0.3	1.4			4.5
Sigma Dos	May 16, 1995	28.2	41.8	14.2	5.1			±0.8 pp	15,500	13.6
Demoscopia	May 15, 1995	27.0	43.0	15.0	4.7			±0.8 pp	16,700	16.0
Sigma Dos	May 2, 1995	27.8	42.3	14.6	4.8		1.3			14.5
CIS	April 23, 1995	31.7	41.6	13.0	4.7	0.8	1.3	±2.0 pp	2,497	9.9
CIS	March 26, 1995	32.0	40.3	14.0	4.6	0.6	1.4	±2.0 pp	2,496	8.3
Demoscopia	March 7, 1995	30.7	38.1	15.5	4.2		1.3	±2.8 pp	1,200	7.4
Sigma Dos	March 2, 1995	28.7	41.0	14.4	5.0		1.3	±0.8 pp	16,150	12.3
CIS	February 9, 1995	33.1	39.9	12.8	5.0	0.8	1.2	±2.0 pp	2,496	6.8
CIS	January 30, 1995	33.3	39.6	12.4	5.5	0.9	1.3	±1.6 pp	3,991	6.3
Gallup	January 27, 1995	30.9	39.6	13.3	5.5		1.4	±2.2 pp	2,008	8.7
CIS	January 17, 1995	33.0	39.4	13.6	4.9	0.9	1.3	±2.0 pp	2,496	6.4
Gruppo	January 2, 1995	28.0	41.0	17.0	4.7			±3.2 pp	1,000	13.0
CIS	December 19, 1994	34.8	37.1	13.0	5.3	1.0	1.3	±2.0 pp	2,488	2.3
Demoscopia	December 13, 1994	30.7	38.2	15.7				±2.8 pp	1,200	7.5
CIS	December 13, 1994	35.5	37.8	12.4	4.8	0.9	1.2	±2.0 pp	2,491	2.3
Sigma Dos	December 11, 1994	28.5	40.8	16.3	4.8		1.2	±3.2 pp	1,000	12.3
Tábula-V	December 2, 1994	24	40	19				±2 pp	4,542	16
CIS	November 16, 1994	35.1	37.2	12.9	5.0	0.8	1.3	±2.0 pp	2,493	2.1
OTR/IS	November 16, 1994	28.2	41.3	15.2	4.9		1.2			13.1
CIS	October 24, 1994	35.3	37.4	12.1	5.0	1.1	1.5	±2.0 pp	2,494	2.1
Gruppo	October 6, 1994	31.5	40.5	14.5	4.5			±3.2 pp	1,000	9.0
Opina	October 1, 1994	35.0	37.0	15.0	5.0		1.5	±2.2 pp	2,000	2.0
OTR/IS	September 30, 1994	29.8	39.6	14.7	4.9		1.4	±2.9 pp	1,204	9.8
Sigma Dos	September 5, 1994	29.6	41.2	14.3	4.9		1.5	±3.2 pp	1,000	11.6
OTR/IS	July 13, 1994	28.4	41.6	14.7	5.1		1.2	±2.9 pp	1,200	13.2
CIS	July 5, 1994	31.1	40.2	14.9	4.5	0.6	1.3	±2.0 pp	2,492	9.1
EP Election	June 12, 1994	30.8	40.1	13.4	4.7	1.0	1.3			9.3
Sigma Dos	June 4, 1994	30.6	40.2	13.7				±3.2 pp	1,000	9.6
Vox Pública	June 2, 1994	30.5	40.7	15.2	4.1	1.3		±2.6 pp	1,303	10.2
Opina	June 1, 1994	34.0	39.0	14.0	5.0	1.0	1.5	±2.2 pp	2,000	5.0
Gruppo	May 30, 1994	31.1	39.2	14.4	5.0	0.7		±2.3 pp	2,000	8.1
Gruppo	May 10, 1994	31.7	38.5	14.0	4.7	0.8		±2.3 pp	2,000	6.8
Opina	April 11, 1994	36.0	38.0	12.0	5.0	1.0	1.5	±2.2 pp	2,000	2.0
OTR/IS	April 3, 1994	34.5	37.8	11.6						3.3
Sigma Dos	March 24, 1994	34.4	37.7	11.2	4.5			±3.2 pp	1,000	3.3
IOPE-ETMAR	January 19, 1994	31.0	36.2	11.0	5.7		1.5			5.2
Sigma Dos	January 2, 1994	36.0	36.5	11.6	4.8	0.6	1.3			0.5

General Election	June 6, 1993	38.8	34.8	9.6	4.9	1.8	1.2			4.0

Seat projections

Opinion polls showing seat projections are displayed in the table below. The highest seat figures in each polling survey have their background shaded in the leading party's colour. In the instance that there is a tie, then no figure is shaded. 176 seats were required for an absolute majority in the Congress of Deputies.

Color key:

Multi-scenario poll Exit poll

176 seats needed for a majority
Polling firm/Link	Last date of polling
Polling firm/Link	Last date of polling

General Election	March 3, 1996	141	156	21	16	0	5

Eco Consulting	March 3, 1996	125/135	160/171	22/25	14/15	0	6/7
Demoscopia	March 3, 1996	124/131	167/174	19/24	14/15	0	5/6
Sigma Dos	March 3, 1996	120/132	164/174	22/25	13/14	0	6/7
Metra Seis	February 25, 1996	116/130	173/181	20/27	14/16	0	5/6
Sigma Dos/Vox Pública	February 24, 1996	113/123	170/179	25/29	14/15	0	6/7
Inner Line	February 22, 1996	136/142	158/166	21/22	14/15	0	5
Demoscopia	February 21, 1996	118/128	170/178	24/27	13/15	0	5/6
Opina	February 20, 1996	135/145	160/170	19/21	14/15	0	5/6
Metra Seis	February 19, 1996	120/128	170/175	23/29	14	0	5
Vox Pública	February 16, 1996	119/129	165/175	18/27	14/16	0	5
ABC	February 14, 1996	118/119	172	30/31	13	0	7
Tábula-V	February 10, 1996	117/125	176/184	22/28	13/14	0	4/5
Opina	February 6, 1996	135/140	160/170	19/21	13/15	0	5/6
Tábula-V	February 5, 1996	108/123	168/172	24/35	15/17	0	5/6
Tábula-V	January 26, 1996	117	181	22	18	0	4
Sigma Dos	January 11, 1996	115/120	167/174	27/30	15/17	0	5
Opina	January 9, 1996	135/145	155/165	20/22	14/16	0	4/5
Sigma Dos/Vox Pública	January 4, 1996	115/120	165/173	29/30	16/17	0	5
Sigma Dos/Vox Pública	December 20, 1995	115/123	165/173	29/30	16/17	0	5
Imagen & Opinión	November 23, 1995	127	172	25	14	0	5
Sigma Dos	May 16, 1995	106	177	33	18	0	5
Sigma Dos	May 2, 1995	107	175
Sigma Dos	March 2, 1995	110	170	35	18	0	5
Gruppo	January 2, 1995	110/119	162/170	30/34	14/17
EP Election	June 12, 1994	115	170	30	19	0	5

General Election	June 6, 1993	159	141	18	17	0	5

Voting preferences

Polls shown below show the recording of raw responses for each party as a percentage of total responses before disregarding those who opted to abstain and prior to the adjusting for the likely votes of those who were undecided to obtain an estimate of vote share. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed in bold, and the background shaded in the leading party's colour. In the instance that there is a tie, then no figure is shaded.

Date	Polling firm/Source	PSOE	PP	IU	CiU	PNV	Others	No party	Und.
Date	Polling firm/Source						Others	No party	Und.
3 Mar 1996	General Election	29.0	29.9	8.1	3.5	1.0	5.9	22.6	0.0
27 Feb–1 Mar	CIS	26.7	23.9	9.5	3.1	0.7	6.0	5.4	24.7
12–21 Feb	CIS	24.2	25.6	9.3	3.6	0.8	5.8	6.6	24.1
17 Feb	ASEP	26.0	22.4	10.0			10.1	6.3	25.2
15–20 Jan	ASEP	24.5	25.1	10.0			10.8	7.7	21.9
10–14 Jan	CIS	24.2	25.8	8.5	2.9	1.0	7.5	7.3	22.8
1996
11–16 Dec	ASEP	22.5	25.2	11.4			9.4	9.3	22.2
9–14 Dec	CIS	24.4	25.4	10.1	2.7	0.6	6.9	7.6	22.3
13–17 Nov	ASEP	22.4	23.4	10.6			10.9	9.9	22.8
8–13 Nov	CIS	20.6	21.3	10.1	3.4	0.9	8.7	8.2	26.8
17–22 Oct	CIS	21.0	24.1	11.1	3.3	0.6	7.0	8.3	24.6
16–21 Oct	ASEP	19.0	22.0	11.8			11.7	11.3	24.2
30 Sep–2 Oct	Demoscopia	16.4	22.8	9.4	2.8		10.4	38.2
18–23 Sep	ASEP	19.8	24.2	9.3			11.9	11.4	23.4
13–17 Sep	CIS	20.0	23.2	10.3	3.3	0.7	6.1	8.7	27.7
9 Jul	Demoscopia	14.7	26.8				58.5
3–8 Jul	ASEP	23.0	29.5	12.3			13.3	6.4	15.5
25–30 Jun	CIS	19.8	27.5	10.3	2.9	0.8	7.3	6.6	24.8
8–19 Jun	CIS	22.7	27.6	11.0	3.4	0.9	5.2	5.7	23.5
5–10 Jun	ASEP	21.7	26.1	11.4			14.3	6.6	19.9
25–31 May	CIS	21.6	27.1	10.4	3.2	0.8	6.4	6.8	23.7
8–13 May	ASEP	23.6	23.7	10.6			10.3	8.4	23.4
19–23 Apr	CIS	19.0	25.4	11.6	2.7	0.9	6.7	9.1	24.6
21 Apr	Demoscopia	14.3	33.3				52.4
4–18 Apr	CIS	19.7	21.7	10.1	3.2	1.0	7.4	7.8	29.1
3–8 Apr	ASEP	22.2	22.9	12.2			12.1	10.7	19.9
19–26 Mar	CIS	21.1	24.9	12.3	2.8	1.2	6.8	8.7	22.2
6–11 Mar	ASEP	20.9	23.9	14.3			11.9	9.3	19.7
8–9 Mar	CIS	15.1	23.0	12.9	4.3	1.2	16.7	8.2	18.6
4–7 Mar	Demoscopia	19.6	26.5				53.9
2–13 Feb	CIS	22.4	20.4	10.6	3.2	0.9	7.4	10.2	24.9
9–11 Feb	CIS	19.2	23.5	11.7	3.0	0.4	6.7	9.9	25.6
6–11 Feb	ASEP	21.1	22.0	15.6			11.9	8.8	20.6
2–9 Feb	CIS	21.0	21.9	10.4	3.3	0.8	6.9	8.8	26.9
20–30 Jan	CIS	17.0	19.8	9.3	3.2	0.8	5.8	10.9	33.2
12–17 Jan	CIS	23.2	21.6	11.4	3.4	1.2	6.5	9.2	23.5
9–14 Jan	ASEP	20.8	20.2	13.3			11.2	12.3	22.2
1995
14–19 Dec	CIS	18.9	19.5	11.8	3.3	0.9	6.2	10.0	29.4
1–13 Dec	CIS	22.2	22.7	10.3	3.1	0.7	6.4	9.4	25.2
5–10 Dec	ASEP	27.0	20.2	10.8			10.6	11.5	19.9
19–24 Nov	CIS	19.3	15.4	8.6	2.5	0.8	7.3	14.1	32.0
12–16 Nov	CIS	21.5	20.9	9.9	3.1	0.5	7.1	11.0	26.0
7–12 Nov	ASEP	21.0	22.0	13.2			12.0	12.8	19.0
19–24 Oct	CIS	19.6	20.0	9.1	3.3	0.8	7.3	11.3	28.6
10–15 Oct	ASEP	20.6	21.2	12.1			13.2	11.3	21.6
2 Oct	Demoscopia	20.2	20.0	8.1			11.9	39.8
20–26 Sep	CIS	21.9	20.9	11.8	3.8	1.2	6.3	10.1	24.0
12–17 Sep	ASEP	21.3	22.7	12.3			11.0	11.9	20.8
5–11 Sep	CIS	18.8	20.4	9.6	2.9	0.5	5.2	10.9	31.7
11–16 Jul	ASEP	21.0	22.9	14.2			12.9	10.2	18.8
1–5 Jul	CIS	20.4	26.2	12.4	3.4	1.1	6.3	9.5	20.7
3 Jul	Demoscopia	20.1	25.7	13.3			12.3	28.6
13–18 Jun	ASEP	20.3	25.6	13.1			13.4	7.1	20.5
16–21 May	ASEP	22.1	19.0	13.1			14.5	10.3	21.0
7–9 May	CIS	16.8	20.3	8.2	2.6	0.2	11.0	9.0	31.9
18–22 Apr	ASEP	19.3	22.6	12.4			12.1	12.7	20.9
6–11 Apr	CIS	18.1	19.1	8.9	2.8	0.5	5.7	14.0	30.9
27 Mar	Demoscopia	17.2	22.0	9.2	2.7	1.3	47.6
18–24 Mar	CIS	18.4	18.2	8.8	2.9	0.4	4.7	9.5	37.1
14–19 Mar	ASEP	21.0	21.2	10.0			12.4	10.5	24.9
22–28 Feb	CIS	19.3	21.1	7.7	3.4	0.8	5.1	11.2	31.4
14–19 Feb	ASEP	18.8	23.3	12.4			13.4	12.3	19.8
17–21 Jan	ASEP	21.3	20.8	10.5			14.5	12.3	20.6
12–17 Jan	CIS	21.6	20.2	7.6	3.2	0.7	4.5	9.8	32.4
1994
16–21 Dec	CIS	18.5	18.6	8.0	2.8	0.6	5.6	10.5	35.4
19 Dec	Demoscopia	20.8	22.6	7.4	2.9		9.2	37.1
7–11 Dec	ASEP	21.8	23.2	9.4			12.6	10.2	22.8
26 Nov–1 Dec	CIS	19.3	17.5	8.3	4.1	1.2	4.1	11.4	34.1
8–13 Nov	ASEP	21.7	21.3	9.7			12.9	11.5	22.9
24 Oct	Demoscopia	28.3	23.9	9.9	3.7		5.7	28.5
13–17 Oct	CIS	23.7	18.7	8.2	3.8	1.0	5.8	8.5	30.3
11–16 Oct	ASEP	23.6	21.2	10.4			15.0	10.8	19.0
21–27 Sep	CIS	26.5	16.5	9.8	3.0	0.9	4.8	8.5	30.0
13–18 Sep	ASEP	23.7	19.4	10.2			14.0	10.2	22.5
24–29 Jul	CIS	31.4	17.3	8.0	3.6	0.6	5.5	7.2	26.4
16–20 Jul	Demoscopia	33.1	24.4	8.6			11.7	22.2
12–17 Jul	ASEP	29.2	22.9	13.4			11.7	6.7	16.1
25–29 Jun	CIS	29.4	20.5	8.0	3.8	0.6	4.8	8.9	24.0
14–19 Jun	ASEP	34.0	21.3	9.9			13.7	3.9	17.2
6 Jun 1993	General Election	29.5	26.4	7.3	3.8	0.9	8.5	23.6	0.0

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