Opinion polling for the Spanish general election, 1989

In the run up to the 1989 Spanish general election, various organisations carried out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in Spain. Results of such polls are displayed in this article.

The date range for these opinion polls are from the previous general election, held on 22 June 1986, to the day the next election was held, on 29 October 1989.

Party vote

Poll results are listed in the table below in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first, and using the date the survey's fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. If such date is unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed in bold, and the background shaded in the leading party's colour. In the instance that there is a tie, then no figure is shaded. The lead column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the two parties with the highest figures. When a specific poll does not show a data figure for a party, the party's cell corresponding to that poll is shown empty.

Color key:

Exit poll

Polling firm/Link	Last date of polling							Margin of error	Sample size	Lead
Polling firm/Link	Last date of polling							Margin of error	Sample size	Lead

General Election	October 29, 1989	39.6	25.8	7.9	5.0	9.1	1.2			13.8

PSOE	October 29, 1989	40.8	24.0	8.1	5.2	9.0	1.3			16.8
ICP/Research	October 19, 1989	40.5	19.1	8.5	4.9	10.3	1.4	±1.0 pp	9,524	21.4
PSOE	October 18, 1989	40	21	8		9				19
Opina	October 18, 1989	41.5	25.0	6.5	4.5	7.8	1.9	±2 pp	3,262	16.5
Sigma Dos	October 17, 1989	39.2	24.2	10.3	4.9	8.0	1.4	±1.1 pp	8,400	15.0
Gruppo	October 17, 1989	40.1	23.6	9.3	4.8	7.5	1.1	±2.5 pp	1,500	16.5
Demoscopia	October 15, 1989	41.6	22.8	9.1	5.0	8.0	1.5	±1.2 pp	6,200	18.8
Opina	October 11, 1989	41.0	24.0	9.0	4.8	8.8	2.0	±2 pp	2,800	17.0
PSOE	October 5, 1989	40	20	8		6				20
Gruppo	October 1, 1989	38.3	24.1	9.0	4.7	7.4	1.1	±2.5 pp	1,500	14.2
Demoscopia	September 30, 1989	42.1	23.8	7.3	4.6	8.7	1.1	±1.2 pp	6,200	18.3
CIS	September 27, 1989	43	21	9		8		±2.0 pp	2,500	22
Metra Seis	September 22, 1989	38.2	22.3	9.2	5.0	8.0	1.3	±0.8 pp	13,950	15.9
ICP/Research	September 19, 1989	38.2	20.2	9.1	4.7	10.0	1.3	±2.5 pp	1,600	18.0
Sigma Dos	September 8, 1989	38.5	23.3	10.5	4.6	8.5	1.1	±3.5 pp	800	15.2
IOPE-ETMAR	September 8, 1989	43.0	22.8	8.4	3.8	7.6	1.0	±2.6 pp	1,483	20.2
Sigma Dos	September 3, 1989	40.0	24.0	9.0	4.8	7.0	1.1	±3.5 pp	800	16.0
DYM	August 30, 1989	40.6	25.1	9.2	5.2	6.4	1.4	±3.2 pp	1,000	15.5
EP Election	June 15, 1989	39.6	21.4	7.1	4.2	6.1	1.3			18.2
Opina	April 10, 1989	38.6	26.5	12.6	6.4	6.4		±2.4 pp	1,610	12.1
DYM	March 30, 1989	36.5	24.1	9.8		6.3				12.4
Gallup	January 30, 1989	35.1	30.1	14.6	4.1	7.6		±4.0 pp	600	5.0
Opina	January 18, 1989	37.9	23.1	13.2	6.2	6.6		±2.4 pp	1,621	14.8
ICP/Research	January 15, 1989	37.5	20.8	13.7	4.5	9.1		±2.8 pp	1,200	16.7
Metra Seis	January 13, 1989	37.0	23.0	12.0	5.5	8.5	1.5	±3.2 pp	1,000	14.0
Opina	December 21, 1988	34.3	27.1	9.9	7.2	7.8		±2.5 pp	1,600	7.2
ICP/Research	December 12, 1988	41	19	11	5	9	1			22
Opina	November 30, 1988	36.0	28.0	10.0	6.8	8.0		±2.5 pp	1,600	12.0
ECO	November 21, 1988	39	26	14		7		±2.3 pp	1,832	13
IOPE-ETMAR	November 17, 1988	39.9	24.9	14.2	5.0	4.2		±3.5 pp	700	15.0
ICP/Research	September 21, 1988	41.0	15.5	13.6	5.7	7.5				25.5
Emopública	April 24, 1988	34	24	15						10
Emopública	April 10, 1988	36.5	26.5	12.0	3.8	6.0	1.0		1,800	10.0
CIS	March 10, 1988	43.0	22.0	11.5		6.5		±2.0 pp	2,495	21.0
CIS	February 16, 1988	42.0	23.0	14.5		6.0		±2.0 pp	2,485	19.0
Metra Seis	February 14, 1988	40	19	15	6	7				21
CIS	January 26, 1988	43.9	23.0	12.5		5.5		±2.0 pp	2,497	20.9
Emopública	January 10, 1988	38.0	21.0	12.0	3.5	5.0	1.0			17.0
CIS	December 22, 1987	44	25	13		6		±2.0 pp	2,488	19
ICP/Research	November 14, 1987	34	20	24						10
Emopública	October 11, 1987	39.0	24.0	12.0	3.8	5.0	1.0			15.0
ICP/Research	October 11, 1987	35.8	23.5							12.3
CIS	September 21, 1987	44	21	12		5		±2.0 pp	2,488	23
Metra Seis	September 6, 1987	35.5	20.4	21.9	5.6	5.8				13.6
EP Election	June 10, 1987	39.1	24.6	10.3	4.4	5.3	1.2			14.5
Municipal Elections	June 10, 1987	37.1	20.4	9.8	5.2	7.2	1.2			16.7
Sigma Dos	June 1, 1987	42.0	25.0	12.0	4.4	5.0	1.3	±2.0 pp	2,500	17.0
Demoscopia	May 26, 1987	37.1	21.8	12.6	5.2	5.5	1.1		11,000	15.3
Sigma Dos	May 8, 1987	42.3	26.1	10.8	5.1	5.2	1.6			16.2
Sofemasa	April 17, 1987	35	23	17		8			6,000	12
Gallup	December 23, 1986	42.3	23.1	11.6				±3.2 pp	1,994	19.2

General Election	June 22, 1986	44.1	26.0	9.2	5.0	4.6	1.5			18.1

Seat projections

Opinion polls showing seat projections are displayed in the table below. The highest seat figures in each polling survey have their background shaded in the leading party's colour. In the instance that there is a tie, then no figure is shaded. 176 seats were required for an absolute majority in the Congress of Deputies.

Color key:

Exit poll

176 seats needed for a majority
Polling firm/Link	Last date of polling
Polling firm/Link	Last date of polling

General Election	October 29, 1989	175	107	14	18	17	5

PSOE	October 29, 1989	173/176	103/105	12/14	18	18/20	5
Metis	October 29, 1989	177/180	100/103	14/16	17/19	17/18	5/6
Sigma Dos	October 29, 1989	177/181	102/106	12/14	18	20/26	6
Demoscopia	October 29, 1989	176/182	91/97	11/15	18	16/18	5/6
Opina	October 29, 1989	181/185	99/101	6/7	18/19	22/25	5/6
ICP/Research	October 19, 1989	174/178	87/91	18/21	17/19	22/26	7
Opina	October 18, 1989	172/178	104/107	14/15	17/18	13	7/8
Sigma Dos	October 17, 1989	168	103	23	17	16	5
Gruppo	October 17, 1989	173/183	95/101	20/21	17/18	14/16	5
Demoscopia	October 15, 1989	176/182	95/104	16/19	18	15/16	5/7
Opina	October 11, 1989	172/178	100/102	18	18/19	15	7/8
PSOE	October 5, 1989	175/185	93/99	14/15		12
Demoscopia	September 30, 1989	178/187	93/99	14/17	17	16/18	5/8
CIS	September 27, 1989	178/180	96	18		12
Tribuna	September 22, 1989	178/186	97/105	14/16	15/16	12/14	4/5
AEB	September 22, 1989	178/180	100	15/18	18	10/11	4/5
Metra Seis	September 22, 1989	172/179	92/99	19	17/18	16/17	7
IOPE-ETMAR	September 8, 1989	185/188	94/97	18/19	15/16	12/13	3/4
EP Election	June 15, 1989	(186)	(96)	(13)	(17)	(10)	(5)
Emopública	April 10, 1988	160/170	100/110	25/30
EP Election	June 10, 1987	(169)	(108)	(23)	(16)	(9)	(5)

General Election	June 22, 1986	184	105	19	18	7	6

Voting preferences

Vote intention

Polls shown below show the recording of raw responses for each party as a percentage of total responses before disregarding those who opted to abstain and prior to the adjusting for the likely votes of those who were undecided to obtain an estimate of vote share. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed in bold, and the background shaded in the leading party's colour. In the instance that there is a tie, then no figure is shaded.

Date	Polling firm/Source	PSOE	PP	CDS	CiU	IU	PNV	Oth.	No party	Und.
Date	Polling firm/Source							Oth.	No party	Und.
29 Oct 1989	General Election	27.4	17.9	5.5	3.5	6.3	0.9	8.2	30.3	0.0
9–13 Oct	ASEP	30.3	7.7	4.6		6.9		10.6	9.0	30.9
23–27 Sep	CIS	31.0	10.0	5.0	3.0	6.0	1.0	5.0	7.0	32.0
16–20 Sep	CIS	30.2	9.5	3.7	2.7	5.8	0.7	4.8	8.0	34.6
11–16 Sep	ASEP	28.3	8.0	3.8		8.3		10.7	8.3	32.6
2–5 Sep	CIS	34.0	10.0	6.0	2.0	5.0	1.0	3.0	10.0	29.0
15–19 Jul	CIS	29.8	9.8	5.3	3.9	5.1	0.7	4.1	9.9	31.4
17–22 Jun	CIS	33.8	9.8	4.1	3.2	5.5	1.1	5.0	9.0	28.5
5–10 Jun	ASEP	25.1	7.4	6.3		6.7		10.9	15.3	28.3
11–18 May	CIS	27.9	11.5	6.3	2.6	4.8	0.9	3.2	7.9	34.9
8–13 May	ASEP	27.0	9.6	8.7		5.1		9.5	12.5	27.6
24 Apr	Demoscopia	21.0	8.0	4.0	2.0	3.0	0.2	61.8
10–16 Apr	ASEP	23.9	8.7	9.3		4.9		10.5	15.8	26.9
20 Mar–15 Apr	IU	24.7	13.2	7.8		9.8		6.5	38.0
6–10 Apr	CIS	29.9	10.5	6.4	2.5	5.5	0.9	3.5	9.0	31.8
14–17 Mar	CIS	26.2	11.9	7.2	2.9	4.3	1.0	3.9	9.7	32.9
6–12 Mar	ASEP	24.7	9.8	11.1		6.5		8.4	12.1	27.4
15–16 Feb	Demoscopia	23.0	10.0	5.0		4.0		9.0	10.0	39.0
10–14 Feb	CIS	23.6	11.3	6.9	2.9	5.1	0.4	3.2	11.2	35.4
6–12 Feb	ASEP	23.8	10.0	10.6		5.5		11.0	12.8	26.3
6–11 Feb	Emopública	20.7	22.0	7.4		6.1		7.1	29.3	7.4
16–21 Jan	ASEP	26.0	10.0	11.3		5.4		8.0	13.5	25.8
10–12 Jan	CIS	25.9	8.5	6.5	1.9	4.7	1.2	2.8	12.1	36.4
2–7 Jan	Emopública	23.0	19.0	9.6		4.4		44.0
1989
24 Dec	Demoscopia	24.0	8.0	4.0		5.0		56.0
15 Dec	Demoscopia	21.0	6.0					73.0
5–13 Dec	ASEP	23.4	8.7	9.5		6.5		9.2	13.8	28.9
30 Nov–3 Dec	CIS	26.4	9.7	6.8	2.2	5.7	0.3	3.3	11.2	34.4
1–21 Nov	ECO	29.3	7.5	11.8		6.6		44.8
11–15 Nov	CIS	25.3	7.1	6.9	4.4	5.0	2.2	5.9	13.0	30.2
7–12 Nov	ASEP	26.0	10.4	8.3		4.9		10.7	14.7	25.0
13–17 Oct	CIS	25.7	10.5	6.5	3.7	4.4	0.4	3.2	11.9	33.7
16 Oct	Demoscopia	23.0	6.0	5.0	4.0			62.0
10–16 Oct	ASEP	25.9	7.7	8.2		5.7		10.5	14.7	27.3
19–21 Sep	ICP-Research	26.6	10.3	8.3	3.1	5.0	0.3	10.3	15.3	20.8
15–19 Sep	CIS	25.7	9.2	8.2	3.0	3.7	0.4	3.8	12.1	33.9
10–19 Sep	Oycos	20.0	9.0	7.0	2.5	3.0	0.6	4.9	16.0	37.0
14–18 Jul	CIS	30.1	8.0	6.4	2.5	4.5	0.5	3.6	12.3	32.1
20–26 Jun	Demoscopia	21.0	7.0	7.0	5.0			8.0	13.0	39.0
13–18 Jun	ASEP	26.5	10.4	9.4		6.7		13.2	9.8	24.0
3–13 Jun	CIS	28.1	9.0	8.1	2.6	5.3	0.6	4.3	10.5	31.5
16–22 May	ASEP	28.7	10.3	9.0		5.9		11.8	11.5	22.8
11–13 May	CIS	25.5	9.8	9.1	2.6	4.9	0.7	3.3	11.0	33.1
20–25 Apr	CIS	30.0	11.6	10.5	2.5	5.1	0.7	3.2	11.0	25.4
18–23 Apr	ASEP	27.6	9.6	9.1		5.1		9.7	11.7	27.2
24 Apr	Emopública	23.8		12.9				32.2		31.1
9–14 Apr	Demoscopia	20.0	8.0	10.0				7.0	55.0
10 Apr	Emopública	27.9	10.1	6.4	3.5	4.7	0.5	5.2	12.1	29.6
7–11 Mar	ASEP	26.7	8.7	10.8		5.3		10.0	12.3	26.2
8–10 Mar	CIS	25.4	10.0	6.7	2.9	4.4	0.7	4.4	8.7	36.8
12–16 Feb	CIS	29.1	7.4	6.3	3.1	3.3	0.6	3.3	10.5	36.4
8–12 Feb	ASEP	30.7	8.3	11.3		4.3		11.0	11.4	23.0
22–26 Jan	CIS	33.3	8.9	9.4	2.6	3.7	1.0	4.3	11.0	25.8
10 Jan	Emopública	28.2	7.8	7.9	3.0	3.7	0.7	5.5	43.2
11–15 Jan	ASEP	27.0	8.4	12.5		5.1		10.7	13.6	22.7
1988
19–22 Dec	CIS	26.6	8.7	8.0	2.8	4.5	0.4		13.3	31.4
20 Dec	ICP-Research	27.8	12.8	12.1		3.4		43.9
8–13 Dec	Demoscopia	25.0	10.0	6.0				59.0
30 Nov–4 Dec	ASEP	29.1	10.4	10.3		4.5		10.6	9.5	25.6
14–17 Nov	CIS	32.5	9.9	11.1	2.8	4.3	0.7	4.4	8.6	25.7
2–6 Nov	ASEP	30.5	10.5	10.6		5.2		10.9	9.9	22.4
10–21 Oct	CIS	28.6	8.8	6.6	2.7	3.6	0.7	4.1	11.5	33.4
11 Oct	Emopública	28.7	9.8	9.1	3.8	4.1	0.6	4.9	39.0
1–7 Oct	ASEP	27.1	8.9	11.7		4.7		9.5	11.9	26.2
25–30 Sep	Demoscopia	25.0	11.0	6.0				58.0
17–21 Sep	CIS	33.2	9.3	8.6	3.1	3.7	0.4	5.5	11.0	25.2
22–24 Jul	CIS	29.9	9.0	8.0	2.0	4.5	0.6	5.3	11.7	29.0
6–10 Jul	ASEP	27.5	11.0	10.7		4.3		10.3	8.7	27.5
29 Jun–5 Jul	Demoscopia	27.0	13.0	7.0		2.0		51.0
8–12 Jun	ASEP	28.1	8.7	10.9		5.7		9.5	9.6	27.5
2–6 Jun	CIS	32.2	11.8	8.0	2.3	5.5	0.7	5.1	8.6	25.8
20–22 May	CIS	32.7	10.8	11.9	2.5	4.1	0.9	4.9	7.2	25.0
11–16 May	ASEP	28.2	10.5	8.8		4.1		9.0	10.8	28.6
22–25 Apr	CIS	28.6	9.6	7.1	2.8	3.0	0.6	4.1	12.9	31.3
19 Apr	Demoscopia	29.0	12.0	5.0		3.0		51.0
6–10 Apr	ASEP	25.8	9.3	11.0		4.5		8.6	7.9	32.9
24–28 Mar	CIS	29.6	9.3	7.9	2.6	3.1	0.8	5.0	10.8	30.9
20 Mar	OTR	19.0	9.0	4.0		3.0		65.0
9–14 Mar	ASEP	28.6	10.7	10.7		4.8		10.8	7.0	27.4
12–16 Feb	CIS	32.0	12.0	6.6	2.4	3.8	0.8	4.6	9.7	28.1
9–14 Feb	ASEP	31.3	11.1	10.3		3.8		8.7	7.4	27.4
12–17 Jan	ASEP	32.7	6.9	8.6		5.1		8.5	12.2	26.0
1–2 Jan	CIS	25.0	7.0	5.0	2.0	4.0	1.0	3.0	14.0	39.0
1987
16–20 Dec	Oycos	24.0	8.0	7.0	3.0	2.0	0.9	5.1	13.0	37.0
8–19 Dec	ASEP	34.2	8.7	10.5		4.8		8.8	10.1	22.9
1 Dec	CIS	31.0	7.2	7.1	2.5	2.2	1.0	4.5	11.4	33.1
14–19 Nov	CIS	34.4	8.4	6.6	2.4	3.2	0.8	4.2	9.6	30.4
3–15 Nov	ASEP	30.9	8.1	11.1		4.3		10.1	2.7	32.8
19–22 Oct	CIS	33.6	9.2	8.8	3.1	2.5	0.7	3.4	10.1	28.6
18–21 Sep	CIS	36.2	10.0	8.3	2.6	3.3	0.7	5.3	9.2	24.4
22 Jun 1986	General Election	30.6	18.0	6.4	3.5	3.2	1.1	7.7	29.5	0.0

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